2012 NFL Draft
Draft Overview: This is a standard draft, maybe a little better than last year simply because it has two QB’s that would both be number one overall picks. It’s heavy at the QB, WR, CB, and DT/DE positions. This draft has in my mind about 5 can’t miss players which is rare. As far as how the draft will unfold, I would expect Tannehill to fall out of the top ten, and I would predict a run on cornerbacks in the early teens which will lead to one of the big DL prospects falling into the mid twenties (probably Brockers or Coples). Everything is going to hinge on what happens with Tampa at the 5th pick. If Richardson and Claiborne aren’t there expect a trade. If either of those guys is available for Tampa then the Jags in the 7 hole are gonna be the determining pick/trade.
I rated the prospects by where I think they deserve to get drafted based on talent and projection. There are of course other reasons teams pick players, the most notable reason is marketing. Like I think RG3 should be picked around 10 and thought Cam should’ve gone in the teens last year, but these guys are going to go real early cuz they make a shitload of money for their team.
Kiper’s an asshole.
Organization: Each Position has a positional overview and each player is shown as:
Name—College—Height-Weight—Probable Draft Position—Rating—Description
The rating is out of 100.
A rating in the 90’s means 1st round grade, e.g. 95 is worth a mid first rounder
A rating in the 80’s means 2nd round grade, e.g. 82 is worth a late 2nd rounder
A rating in the 70’s means 3rd round grade, e.g. 78 is worth an early 3rd rounder
A rating in the 60’s or lower means a 3rd day prospect
Best overall:
1. Andrew Luck 100 QB
2. Trent Richardson 99 RB
3. Matt Kalil 99 T
4. Justin Blackmon 98 WR
5. Luke Kuechly 98 ILB
6. Morris Claiborne 98 CB
7. Robert Griffin III 97 QB
8. Stephon Gilmore 96 CB
9. Whitney Mercilus 95 OLB/DE
10. Chandler Jones 95 DE/OLB
11. Janoris Jenkins 95 CB
12. David DeCastro 95 G
13. Fletcher Cox 94 DT/DE
14. Michael Brockers 94 DT/DE
15. Dre Kirkpatrick 94 CB
16. Courtney Upshaw 94 OLB/DE
17. Riley Reiff 94 T
18. Quinton Coples 93 DE
19. Melvin Ingram 93 OLB/DE
20. Mark Barron 93 S
21. Michael Floyd 93 WR
22. Coby Fleener 92 TE
23. Jerel Worthy 92 DT
24. Vinny Curry 92 DE
25. Devon Still 92 DT/DE
26. Cordy Glenn 92 T
27. Dont’a Hightower 92 ILB
28. Dontari Poe 91 DT
29. Jonathan Martin 90 T
30. Andre Branch 89 OLB/DE
31. David Wilson 88 RB
32. Mike Adams 88 T
33. Rueben Randle 88 WR
34. Doug Martin 87 RB
35. Juron Criner 87 WR
36. Dwanye Allen 87 TE
37. Kirk Cousins 87 QB
38. Derek Wolfe 87 DT/DE
39. Kendall Reyes 87 DT/DE
40. Shea McClellin 87 OLB/DE
41. Casey Hayward 87 CB
42. Alameda Ta’amu 87 DT
43. Jake Bequette 87 DE
44. Trumaine Johnson 87 CB/S
45. Kendall Wright 86 WR
46. Harrison Smith 86 S
47. Jared Crick 86 DT/DE
48. Kevin Zeitler 85 G
49. Lavonte David 85 LB
50. Bobby Massie 85 T
51. Alshon Jeffery 85 WR
52. Brandon Weeden 84 QB
53. Peter Konz 83 C
54. Brandon Taylor 83 S
55. Jayron Hosley 83 CB
56. Nick Perry 83 OLB/DE
57. Marvin McNutt 83 WR
58. Amini Silatolu 82 G
59. Stephen Hill 82 WR
60. Brandon Thompson 82 DT
61. Lamar Miller 80 RB
62. Sean Spence 80 OLB
63. Chris Given 80 WR
64. Bruce Irvin 80 OLB
65. Josh Robinson 80 CB
66. Nick Toon 80 WR
67. Tyrone Crawford 80 DE
68. Jeff Allen 79 T
69. Rishard Matthews 78 WR
70. Bobby Wagner 78 LB
71. Nick Foles 78 QB
72. LaMichael James 78 RB
73. Chase Minnifield 77 CB
74. Brock Osweiler 77 QB
75. Zebrie Sanders 77 T
76. Nick Jean-Baptiste 77 DT
77. Zach Brown 76 LB
78. Ryan Broyles 75 WR
79. Russell Wilson 75 QB
80. Isaiah Pead 75 RB
81. Mohamed Sanu 75 WR
82. Orson Charles 75 TE
83. Brandon Washington75 G/T
84. Billy Winn 74 DE/OLB
85. Cam Johnson 73 DE/OLB
86. Chris Polk 73 RB
87. Kelechi Osemele 73 G
88. Brian Quick 72 WR
89. Brandon Boykin 72 CB
90. Cyrus Gray 72 RB
91. Mike Martin 71 DT
92. Joe Adams 70 WR
93. Bernard Pierce 70 RB
QB: This is an excellent quarterback class, definitely the best I’ve ever scouted. Obviously there’s Luck, but behind him there are still about 6 quarterbacks that could be good starters. In the last three years there have been two really really good prospects (Stafford and Bradford). This year would have 3 of the top 5 qb prospects of the last 4 drafts (2009-2012). Last year had a million question marks, this year the biggest question is accuracy for just about every prospect. However, as in any draft there will be busts at the QB position. I would say the most likely busts would be RG3 and Weeden. But predicting QB’s is almost impossible so they’ll prob be studs.
1. Andrew Luck—Stanford—6’4”-234—1st Overall—100—Best quarterback prospect since John Elway (yes better than Peyton). Ideal size, athletic (4.67), and very intelligent. Good arm strength, real good accuracy, and produced without receiver help, but with tight ends. He’s as close to can’t miss as a QB can get. Was in a mostly running offense in college and still put up good numbers, especially in efficiency ratings. Indy sucks which could make him start slow, but they really sucked when they drafted Peyton too. The only issue I have with his game is not leading receivers enough on the deep ball. He has a strong enough arm, but he threw a few picks by leaving it short on the go routes. Oh, and he’s a goof ball. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RF9PFJI_t5I
2. Robert Griffin III—Baylor—6’2”-223—2nd Overall—97—Absolute freak. Good size, especially for a mobile qb, 4.41 is ridonk. His entire offense was revolved around the shotgun play fake. Threw a lot of screens and real quick slant/seam passes that were predetermined either thru play call or pre-snap read. He will need improvement in making more complex reads, as will every college q. Great arm strength, better than good accuracy, and throws the best deep ball I’ve ever scouted. My concerns are with his delivery which is a little reminiscent to Vince Young, except Vince has 3 inches on RG3. Also, he does not handle pressure in the pocket well at all. He gets sacked almost every time he is pressured. In the NFL you’re always dealing with pressure. Plays very well outside the pocket. Skins’ should be a good fit. I like him a little better than Cam last year because he threw the ball more, but Cam’s size and delivery looked more pro ready.
3. Ryan Tannehill—Texas A&M—6’4”—221—Top 10—95—This draft’s wild card. Most likely someone will trade up to get him if he passes by the Browns at 4. 5th all-time receiver in A&M history so definitely athletic (4.61). Strong thrower of the football. Plays very well on the run. Does not move around the pocket very well but he can run with it. Comparing him to Blaine Gabbert last year, Tannehill shows a stronger arm, a more diverse playbook/route package, and but less complete quarterback skill (footwork/pocket presence). I think he handles pressure ok, and when allowed to sit in the pocket can sling with anyone. He looks like a good player, and might have been the highest rated QB in last year’s draft.
4. Kirk Cousins—Mich. St.—6’3”-214—2nd Day—87—Watched his bowl game this year and really liked him. Consistent production over the past three years puts him light years ahead of Ricky Stanzi last year. Has a strong enough arm when he can get his body behind it, but ball floats if he’s on his back foot (only does that when there’s pressure). Pretty damn accurate. Smart kid, by all accounts a real good leader. Doesn’t have physical deficiencies. I think he’s flying under the radar in the media but the someone is gonna draft him in the 2nd because he’s a solid QB prospect. Could definitely fill Mark Sanchez’s role, prob better than him. Seems like a cross between Andy Dalton and Christian Ponder. Shows Dalton’s grit, and playing style, but he played in a pro style offense like Ponder. I really like him.
5. Brandon Weeden—Okla. St.—6’4”-221—1st/2nd—84—He’ll be holding a cane in his left while he shakes Goodell’s hand with his right. The soon to be 29 year old won’t have maturity concerns. Dude can absolutely sling it, strongest arm in the draft. Unfortunately he has accuracy problems, they also get a lot worse when he’s pressured. He does not throw a particularly good deep ball, but excels at crossing and out routes. He does not get his body into throws very often which could be a big cause for his accuracy issues. The best comparison to last year is Ryan Mallett. Mallett had much better accuracy, played in a more complex offense, and didn’t have gray pubes. Weeden’s not a nut case. Edge-Mallett.
6. Nick Foles—Arizona—6’5”-243—2nd day—78—I noticed him last year cuz he was productive and looked like an NFL qb. Statue in the pocket, but his line/entire team were pretty shitty. Still was able to put up big numbers and get wins. Another guy with a rocket in the Ryan Mallett mold. Issue with Foles being his failures to cope with pressure and inconsistent accuracy. That being said I like his experience and his arm ability and could definitely see him starting in the NFL some day.
7. Brock Osweiler—Arizona St.—6’7”-242—2nd day—77—Lank Ball. Would think he’d be a Mallett statue, but he moves pretty well and can run too. If he stayed in school he’d be in the discussion with Matt Barkley for best QB next year. He can sling it, but he misses a lot of passes. Has a quick release, but elongates on deep throws. Really needs some development, but the accuracy issues may be too much. He’s this years Colin Kaepernick, except he’s further along as a thrower/qb than Kaepernick.
8. Russell Wilson—Wisconsin—5’11”204 3rd round/day—75—I noticed him two years ago at N.C. State. Dude is just an awesome quarterback. Saw him play multiple times this year and he had only improved. He runs the entire offense, makes play fakes, throws all the passes (average arm strength), runs when he has to, and makes clutch plays. I love him and he reminds me of Troy Smith from Ohio St. He comes with maturity, experience, and multiple facets to his game. Only problem, he’s shorter than me. Some may think he can be Drew Brees, but Brees is a freak. Simply because of his height, he’s gonna be a 3rd day pick and life long backup/wildcat q.
RB: Running backs are becoming a devalued position in the draft cuz of passing offenses and durability issues. Richardson’s the best prospect since C.J. Spiller, maybe even Adrian Peterson. There are some good backs in the 2nd round too. If a running back can be an effective receiver I think it increases their value maybe even by a whole round. For example the biggest difference between Richardson and Ingram last year is Trent’s receiving skills, that and his durability.
1. Trent Richardson—Alabama—5’9”-228—Top 10—99—Loved this guy since he was a freshman and Ingram won the stiff arm trophy. He’s got everything except home run speed, which doesn’t mean he can’t make big plays. Love his pigeon toes/ bow leggedness, looks like other great NFL backs like MJD and Ray Rice. He’s a phenomenal receiver combined with the body to withstand punishment so he’s gonna be an everydown back which gives him a top 5 grade.
2. David Wilson—Va. Tech—5’10”-206—Late 1st early 2nd—88—Ran a 4.4 with an 11’ broad and a 41” vert, savage. He’s definitely got a good burst, and he plays with good pad level. Hit a bunch of big ones in college, most of which were the product of huge holes and slow defenders. But he does shed off a lot of tackles. 1700 yards this year with receiving ability to boot. Better prospect than Ryan Williams was last year. Think Arian Foster with more burst.
3. Doug Martin—Boise St.—5’9”-223—2nd round—87—Plays strong and with good balance, reminds me of Ryan Mathews but without the 4.4 speed. Martin aint slow, but doesn’t quite have the last gear. Good size, likes contact, and can catch the ball. Plays a bit like Mikel Leshoure from last year, but I think Martin’s a better all around player. Can return kicks too.
4. Lamar Miller—Miami—6’0”-212—2nd round—80—Speedy bastard (4.38). He’s a young-in so lots of tread left on the tires. Explosive return man too. Doesn’t like contact, that combined with bad receiving ability drops him into the 3rd round range for me.
5. LaMichael James—Oregon—5’8”-194—3rd round/day—78—This years best 3rd down specialist type back. We all saw him tear it up in Oregon’s offense, but he was shut down the few times he played good (SEC) defenses. Belongs in the 3rd round and can give an offense a new weapon (4.38 speed). I think Tampa might wanna give him a look.
6. Isaiah Pead—Cincinnati—5’10”-197—3rd round/day—75—Nice little scat back. He’s a perfect 3rd down back in the shotgun. 4.4 speed is accurate to how he plays. Good vision, decent hands and makes strong cuts. Just a shade behind LaMichael because he doesn’t make as many big big plays.
7. Chris Polk—Washington—5’11”-215—3rd round/day—73—NFL ready body. Guy runs a lot like Pierre Thomas aka he’s tough. He was the focal point for UW’s offense and still put up big numbers (3000 yards over the last 2 years). Played at 225, dropped 10 lbs to bring his 40 time into the mid 4.4’s at the combine. Is just a solid running back, a carry eater.
8. Cyrus Gray—Texas A&M—5’10—206—3rd day—72—Loved watching him the last couple of years. I think he’s a bit underrated. Got some durability concerns and ended up splitting carries at the beginning of last year. He’s a pure running back, great vision and instincts. 4.47 speed aint too shabby only thing is will he get a good opportunity.
9. Bernard Pierce—Temple—6’0”-218—3rd round/day—70—Timed at 4.5 but plays closer to 4.6. Hugely productive last year (27 TD’s). I don’t see anything very impressive on film, and that’s bad cuz he wasn’t playing great talent in the MAC.
WR: This really is an excellent receiver class. I’ve never seen this many big, tall, and talented receivers in the same draft. Justin Blackmon’s a stud, will go top 6 and deserves it, I am worried a bit about his character though. People are hyping Michael Floyd too much for my liking. I think we’ll see 4 wideouts go in the first and at least 4 more in the 2nd. Immediate impact from Blackmon on the outside and Joe Adams as a punt returner. Remember the name Juron Criner.
1. Justin Blackmon—Okla St.—6’1”-207—Top Ten—98—Been following him ever since Dez Bryant got suspended and Blackmon blew up. 2 time Biletnikoff winner (Best WR), 17 yards per catch and averages nearly 2 td’s a game. The man defines productivity. Definitely plays much bigger than his frame, and has ability to box out defenders. Natural true hands. Excellent after the catch, think Anquan Boldin but faster. Attacks the football, a lot like Dez in the respect, just goes up and takes it. Tore apart Alonzo Dennard and Prince Amukamara and singlehandedly took over the Fiesta Bowl. He’s a gamer with some character issues (DUI in 2010) and can get pouty/angry. A slightly better prospect than Dez Bryant just because of better top speed, not as developed a receiver as A.J. Green i.e. route running. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IVu1L7gJzkY
2. Michael Floyd—Notre Dame—6’3”-220—Top 15—93—Got a lot of double coverage this past year which saw his yards and ypr take a dip. Prototypical size for number 1 wideout, good physicality, 4.47 is good. Caught a lot of streaks from Jimmy Clausen, more slants and comebacks after he left. I see him as similar to a less physical Brandon Marshall. Some people are throwing out Larry Fitzgerald comparisons which is an embarrassment. Will be Vincent Jackson at best, gets open pretty well, but does not show exceptional separation or catch in traffic ability.
3. Rueben Randle—LSU—6’3”-210—2nd—88—Wasn’t super productive, but 53 for 917 and 8 scores isn’t too bad in an SEC running offense. 4.55 at the combine disappointed some but I think he plays at a 4.5. Surprisingly quick for a guy his size but equally surprising at his lack of physicality. Dude got absolutely shut down by Alabama twice this year but tore them apart last year. Reminds me of Arrelious Benn or Brandon Lafell, solid 2nd round prospect.
4. Juron Criner—Arizona—6’3”-224—2nd—87—Very interesting prospect. NFL size, NFL production (just shy of 100 per game). People are turned off by his 4.67, but I think he plays at a 4.55 and shows very good lateral movement, plus a 38” vert. Apparently some character issues, also saw a couple drops on film. Seems to be a bit of a complainer too. That being said this kid is sliding under the radar. If he ran a 4.55 he’s a late first rounder. My sleeper of this receiver class, think Vincent Jackson or Marques Colston. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1WSAMN_k5gM&feature=relmfu
5. Kendall Wright—Baylor—5’10”-196—1st—86—Dude straight balled with RG3. 100 for 1600 and 14 TD’s, beast. He’s small, looks a lot like Percy Harvin, difference is I think Percy was more explosive. This guy got deep a lot for a 4.6 at the combine (4.41 at pro day). He probably plays around 4.5 which aint bad out of the slot. He’s further along in his route running than Percy, but Percy was a better athlete. I think this guy is a 2nd round prospect. 39” Vert shows good explosion, but I don’t see him running by a lot of people at the next level so anyone comparing him to Mike Wallace need to shut the hell up. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VkBtsOuM300
6. Alshon Jeffery—South Carolina—6’3”-216—1st-2nd—85—Jump ball specialist. At one time thought of as a top ten pick, slow running and character issues have derailed that possibility. Dude was like 240 pounds at the end of the year, but a 4.48 at the combine while tipping the scale at 216 made a lot of people shut up. Plays closer to a 4.6 which puts him in the 2nd round for me. Does not separate from defenders well, though he did get a lot of attention. Big strong hands (10.25”), can make catches in and above traffic. Dwanye Bowe at best, but someone’s gonna have to straighten out his head. Comparable to USC’s Mike Williams for the Seahawks. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DV0VbLqNLrU
7. Marvin McNutt—Iowa—6’3”-216—2nd-3rd day—83—Solid production of 80 for 1300 and 12 with a new QB. Makes spectacular catches but sometimes drops the bunnies. Very good size, good stride. Ran a surprising 4.54 but looks like a 4.6 on tape which may push him into the 3rd. A lot like Juron Criner, but McNutt seems stiffer and doesn’t have the YAC ability. Starvin Marvin got shutdown by Dennard which doesn’t bode well for his draft stock. He has serious ability though and could be a number one in the league. Comparable to a little slower Kenny Britt. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XzDog7j9ziE
8. Stephen Hill—Georgia Tech—6’4”-215—1st-2nd—82—Would someone please explain to me why these freak athlete receivers keep going to Georgia Tech where they run the option 9 outta 10 plays. Seriously Calvin Johnson, Demaryius Thomas and now Stephen Hill. Big strong kid. 4.36 at the combine has him getting 1st round talk. He runs fluidly, but he doesn’t have turn the corner speed but more like you’re not gonna catch him from behind type speed. Has a couple nice catches downfield in traffic, but the guy basically runs quick screens or streaks. 2nd round for potential, he’s not as good as Demaryius Thomas was and it took him almost 2 years to make any impact. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-VHFeehT0Ro
9. Chris Given—Wake Forest—5’11”-198—3rd round—80—Big year in 2011, 80 for 1300. Came out as a Junior. He’s a borderline 2nd round prospect despite slightly questionable hands. Ran a 4.41 and looks exactly that on film. Can get vertical and can catch underneath routes. Will take him a couple years but he’s an NFL receiver. Reminds me of Damien Williams.
10. Nick Toon—Wisconsin—6’2”-215—2nd day—80—Everytime I watched Wisconsin this guy seemed to make plays. Even though it was a running offense he still racked up 60 grabs for 1000 and 10 trips to the endzone. Ran a solid 4.55 and has good size. Made a lot of tough catches. A faster Austin Pettis. He’ll go in the third but has 2nd round potential. Father was a receiver drafted before Jerry Rice. Plays a lot like Eric Decker.
11. Rishard Matthews—Nevada—6’0”-217—3rd round/day—78—Getting a buzz lately after a solid pro-day. Let the WAC in catches and yards. Really really strong runner with the ball. Reminds me of Steve Smith of the Panthers a bit. More of an outside receiver than slot guy despite his height. Ran mid 4.4’s at his pro day but plays around 4.5. He’s a solid 3rd round pick, brings return ability too. Pretty close to Damien Williams on the Titans, though less polished. Stiff arm at the 1:05 mark http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DiCg-za-uA
12. Ryan Broyles--Oklahoma—5’10”-192—3rd day—75—Very productive at Oklahoma. Tore his ACL at the end of the season which is gonna put a serious dip his draft stock. NCAA all time leader in receptions. Has return ability too. Bulk isn’t terrible for someone his height. Not the fastest but good quickness and hands and toughness. Could be a steal. Wont be a factor this fall. I like him as a slot guy, or even a Deion Branch type. Sam Bradford and Landry Jones’ best friend.
13. Mohamed Sanu—Rutgers—6’2”-211—2nd—75—Good size, 4.67 is ugly, and he plays that speed too. Brutal tape against UConn. Looks like they’re designing plays for him but it aint working. Looks lost running in the open field. Big East career reception hold (210) after only playing 3 years. Will catch underneath routes pretty exclusively although he doesn’t consistently beat corners. West coast receiver. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lMqem_IgX4
14. Brian Quick—Appalachian St.—6’4”-220—3rd round/day—72—I see a lot of Marques Colston in his game. Plays out of the slot pretty often and can exploit the seem. Can’t win on the outside with his athleticism and does not show the ability to get the ball at the highest point. Will need to be in the right situation and will need to play in the slot. Consistently productive with about 1000 yards each of the last 3 years, smooth runner but ran a 4.55 and plays at a 4.6 without a killer instinct. 34” arms and 10” hands aka should be able to go get it, but doesn’t show it yet.
15. Joe Adams—Arkansas—5’11”-179—3rd round/day—70—Best return man in the draft. Will be a serviceable slot receiver in the pro’s, but his return ability is why he’ll get drafted. 4.55 at the combine, relies more on quickness anyway. Watch this one http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxW2mL8BbOA
16. A.J. Jenkins—Illinois—6’0”-190—3rd round/day—68—Smaller guy who could move to the slot or stay outside. 1250 yards last year is nice. Really slim guy is gonna want to put on some lbs but that could slow him down from 4.4. Looks like a fourth round prospect to me that may one day be an average 2nd receiver. Good burst and runs good routes though.
17. Jarius Wright—Arkansas—5’10”-182—3rd day—62—Absolutely loved watching this guy last fall. Seemed like he was always open and always making big plays. Ran a 4.41 at the combine but was reported to run a 4.27 while at school. He’s real tiny, like Desean Jackson small. Unfortunately he doesn’t have the burst that Desean or Titus Young has, that’s gonna push him to day 3. Johnny Knox at best. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tz2uszgCxnE
TE: A pretty weak TE class, though its pretty much in line with last year. This TE draft is purely about Fleener and Allen. Fleener is fast, tall, and talented. Allen is the opposite, pudgy kinda slow but soft hands and tremendously nimble. After them Orson Charles is a specimen, but he just doesn’t play football well. And after that there’s pretty slim pickings.
1. Coby Fleener—Stanford—6’6”-247—1st-2nd—92--I love him. He moves incredibly well for a guy his size. Definitely has room to gain weight/strength though he did get 27 reps. Gets out on his toes too much in run blocking but that can be fixed. Looks like a 4.6 on film which would be outstanding, but he ran a 4.45 and 4.51 at his pro-day with a 37” vert hello. Runs pretty routes, catches the ball clean, lines up as a wideout sometimes too. He’s gonna give whatever offense he goes to serious versatility. Definitely better prospect than Kyle Rudolph last year. Colts could keep him and Luck together with the 1st and 33rd picks. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tyWRmSDDvxo
2. Dwanye Allen—Clemson—6’3”-255—2nd day—87—Underclassman coming out early. Has the Antonio Gates chubby body type. Moves well for his size, especially laterally. Is the best blocking TE in the draft who isn’t a glorified tackle. Ran a 4.89 at the combine which was embarrassing, but 1.66 10 yard split is good for a big man. He wins using quickness and body much like Gates, and he has the same basketball background. He’ll go late 2nd but is a mid 2nd round talent. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5axTDv4oZxk
3. Orson Charles—Georgia—6’2”-251—2nd day—75—Another underclassman. Dude is absolutely jacked up, looks like Vernon Davis. Put up 35 reps at the combine and looks to play sub 4.6, guy has all the physical attributes. Looks like a straight line speed guy. Has everything you want to measure for a tight end but none of the things you wanna see like blocking without holding, route running, natural catching, head on his shoulders (DUI a month ago). He’s a risky pick because I see bust written all over this guy.
4. Ladarius Green—Louisiana Lafayette—6’6”-237—3rd round/day—60—Another athlete playing football, tall and fast (4.53). Is gonna need to put on bulk and take off the skirt. In one game I saw him alligator arm multiple passes and puss out of 3 tackles. 3 tackles he wussed out of in one game while playing offense. I hate him, but someone might see Jimmy Graham here which is retarded.
T: This is an average class of tackles. Usually there are 3 or 4 first round LT prospects, this year is no different. Matt Kalil is an absolute stud, dude is a baller. After him, I have a few question marks and really am not positive anyone else in the class will be a standout left tackle. I base a lot on the big guys athleticism as do pro scouts.
1. Matt Kalil—USC—6’7”-306—Top 5—99—Probably the best O-line prospect since Jake Long. I’ve been waiting for this kid for a couple years. He’s long and lean as is the new breed of lineman. When he gets his hands on people it’s over. He has real good feet, and doesn’t appear to get enough depth in pass blocking, but his arms are so long (34.5”) and his agility so good that he actually is in perfect position the whole time. Excellent shield blocks followed with leg drive that often ends in a pancake. He’s a solid run blocker. Very good pass blocker that can stand up to bull rushes and match speed rushes. Only negative I saw were mishaps when a very quick defensive end put a juke move on him like Mark Anderson does. Kalil gets to the second level with ease and punishes linebackers. Older brother is possibly the best interior lineman in the NFL. This kid is can’t miss, safest pick in years.
2. Riley Reiff—Iowa—6’6”-314—Top 15—94—Another Iowa lineman. Kirk Ferentz puts them out all the time and they all seem to be technically sound, but unathletic. Reiff falls into pretty much the same category. He’s a pretty good run blocker, not exceptional. The thing you notice with this guy is he seems to always do his job. His pass blocking is better than Bryan Bulaga was, but Reiff shows a slow slide step as Bulaga did. I think he is a good prospect but would have been behind Castonzo and Tyron Smith last year. 23 reps with 33” arms ain’t good.
3. Cordy Glenn—Georgia—6’5”-345—1st—92—Big dude. Played LT in school, but will probably move to guard. Some people say he can play center too. I think he’s one of the most underrated O-line prospects this year. He dominated against LSU this fall, I think he can play tackle in the NFL, prob RT cuz he’s a bit heavy for LT. Even So I think He’s a late first round prospect. Good feet, good reach (36”), and he moves well for his size. Reminds me of James Carpenter last year.
4. Jonathan Martin—Stanford—6’5”-312—1st—90—Kids got a solid punch, prob the best in the draft. He can get pushed back with the bull rush, but his punch helps against that. Problem is sometimes his bunch gets chopped or ripped and then he’s fucked. He has enough feet to play left tackle much like Reiff. It helps that he played in front of Luck. He was a solid run blocker in their heavy run system. I think he’s a lot like Derek Sherrod from last year, and Sherrod played god awful for Green Bay.
5. Mike Adams—Ohio St.—6’7”-323—1st/2nd—88—Tested positive for weed at the combine like a retard. Looks a bit lazy on the field surprisingly. He’s a mammoth so lots of times pass rushers just stop cuz they can’t get around him so he stops too. Gets out on his toes too much. He looks like one of those old school left tackles like Flozell Adams or Bryant Mckinnie. He could play left tackle, he will have trouble with speed rushers, but he’s a left tackle in the second round which sounds good for a lot of teams.
6. Bobby Massie—Ole Miss—6’6”-316—2nd day—85—Played RT in college and is still a bit raw. I love his initial slide step. He’s definitely a 2nd round tackle. Reminds me of Will Beatty of the G-men outta Uconn a few years back. Definite athleticism, solid run blocker, but can get over powered in pass protection, and is vulnerable to rushers with good hands like Courtney Upshaw who torched him. Good player, has upside.
7. Zebrie Sanders—FSU—6’6”-320—2nd day—77—Definitely a right tackle. Dude is embarrassingly bad at cut blocking. He played a lil LT in college but will be a RT in the pros. Has stiff hips and issues with being too high. Sometimes has issues in communication with his guard. I can’t believe how bad he is at cut blocking.
8. Jeff Allen—Illinois—6’4”-307—2nd day—79—Lotta people have him as a sleeper LT in this draft. He has about the same athleticism as Jonathan Martin and displays the same ability at times, but is very inconsistent and has a tendency to get his hands too wide. He looks like a good player, but I could definitely see him fizzling out in the pros.
9. Brandon Washington—Miami—6’3”-320—3rd round/day—75—Played well as a sophomore guard, but not as well as a LT his junior year. Has OK feet but plays with good leverage and strength. I like him as a guard. He’s nothing special, just a 3rd round starter’s grade.
G/C: This is a pretty good draft class for guards. We might see as many as 3 in the top 35 picks. Lots of these guys can play center with a little practice. No pure center prospects this year.
1. David DeCastro—Stanford—6’5”-316—1st—94—The man’s a beast. He has fantastic feet for a guard, good enough to play tackle if he had longer arms (32”). He plays exactly like Steve Hutchinson. I like to see an angry streak in interior lineman, he shows some anger issues and his technique is flawless. Probably will go mid first, I think he’s gonna be an absolute animal. Has center flexibility also.
2. Kevin Zeitler—Wisconsin—6’4”-314—2nd round—85—Classic Big 10 guard. Run blocker, opened up big holes for Monte Ball and company. Biggest drawback is his lack of athleticism, but he’s a guard, its not that big a deal. Reminds me of Danny Watkins from last year, got the same mean streak. Not a game breaker but will be a solid player in a running scheme.
3. Peter Konz—Wisconsin—6’5”-313—2nd round—83—Consensus best center in the draft. Technically sound as you’d expect from a Wisconsin lineman. Pretty good feet, strong and smart. Guys gonna be good, safe pick.
4. Cordy Glenn—Georgia—6’5”-345—1st—92—Big dude. Played LT in school, but will probably move to guard. Some people say he can play center too. I think he’s one of the most underrated O-line prospects this year. He dominated against LSU this fall, I think he can play tackle in the NFL, prob RT cuz he’s a bit heavy for LT. Even So I think He’s a late first round prospect. Good feet, good reach (36”), and he moves well for his size. Reminds me of James Carpenter last year.
5. Amini Silatolu—Midwestern St.—6’4”-311—3rd round/day—82—This dude was dominant at Midwestern State, only problem is he was playing shitty competition. He was humongous compared to everyone he played against. Played LT but he’s definitely a guard. I like him, probably the hardest hitter at the guard position in the draft. Small school gem.
6. Brandon Washington—Miami—6’3”-320—3rd round/day—75—Played well as a sophomore guard, but not as well as a LT his junior year. Has OK feet but plays with good leverage and strength. I like him as a guard. He’s nothing special, just a 3rd round starter’s grade.
7. Kelechi Osemele—Iowa State—6’6”-333—2nd day—73—Longest arms at the combine (36”). Played LT in college but is prob best as a guard in the league. He ran a good 40 time, but he doesn’t have the feet to play tackle. Nothing special here, got bitched around by Oklahoma.
3-4 NT: This is a pretty weak class of nose tackles. Ta’amu is probably the only sure thing in this group. Some of the DT’s might also be able to make it at the nose, but these are the guys that will most likely play there.
1. Dontari Poe—Memphis—6’4”-346—1st—91—Everyone knows about the 4.87 40 for a 350 pounder. Reputation is that he takes plays off, I didn’t see it on film. What I did see was a good burst, clear strength and very little impact on the game. Even when he’s in a one on one matchup he doesn’t show the ability to win. This guy screams bust. I would compare him to a bigger Marvin Austin from last year.
2. Alameda Ta’amu—Washington—6’3”-348—1st/2nd—87—This is a big man. Consistently gets double teamed. You see consistent effort out of him and good hands. He’s not elite because he lacks that quickness, but his strength and required attention make him worthy of a 2nd round pick. A lot like Phil Taylor but without the weight/character concerns.
3. Nick Jean-Baptiste—Baylor—6’1”-335—3rd day—77—Short but large and stout. He can play the nose effectively and showed dominant play in the east-west shrine game. He a real strong player who can get significant push up the middle.
4. Brandon Thompson—Clemson—6’2”-314—2nd day—82—Does the dirty work on the inside. A stout guy that belongs at the 4-3 DT. Some people are real high on him, I like him, but don’t think he is exceptional. I see a little Corey Luiget in his game, but Liuget is definitely better and especially more dynamic.
3-4 DE: Excellent class of 3-4 DE’s. A lot of these guys could make it playing on the inside in the 4-3, but their body types are perfect to fit in the 3-4. Just two years ago I only had Jared Odrick as a 3-4 DE in the top 2 rounds, last year had a bunch, but most were likely to play other positions. This draft is littered with 3-4 guys that will end up playing there, and playing well. Probably looking at 4 first rounders.
1. Fletcher Cox—Miss. St.—6’4”-298—Top 20—94—This guys climbing up peoples draft boards real fast. He has good measurables 34.5” arms and an amazing 4.79 40 makes him look good. In college he played the 4-3 DT spot and saw a lot of guard and center double teams. He shows good effort, has a solid burst when lining up across from the tackle which makes him appealing as a 3-4 DE. He’s definitely a 1st round talent, I don’t think he’s a top 10 game changer type. 3-4 is his ideal fit.
2. Michael Brockers—LSU—6’5”-322—1st—94—Bill Parcells is real high on this guy. He’s got a vicious swim move. Huge man that carries 320 well. Only 1 year as full time starter. Real young kid which makes him a projection as to how he’ll develop. Plays strong and with speed but measured in with a 5.33 40 and only 19 reps. But he’s got good feet, and played real well. I think he is scheme diverse and could be a 4-3 DT or an equally effective 3-4 DE. I think it’s a toss up between him and Cox with the scheme determining who teams will like more.
3. Devon Still—Penn. St.—6’5”-303—1st/2nd—92—He has the perfect body for a 3-4 DE except his arms are a hair over 33”. Another Parcells favorite. Holds his ground pretty well against double teams, but doesn’t beat them like Brockers does. Shows a tremendous burst when lined up across from a tackle which makes him better in a 3-4. Definitely a 1st round caliber talent. Better than Odrick was. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n2uZ-b0GgEQ
4. Derek Wolfe—Cinci—6’5”-295—2nd-4th round—87—Guy is a solid solid player. Makes very few mistakes and doesn’t get pushed around. He’s gonna fall a bit, but I think he is going to be a very valuable pick for whoever gets him. He’s very strong, is able to extend his arms and make plays in the running game, and shows a surprising burst in open space. I think he belongs in a 3-4. Pro comparison would be Ty Warren when he was good.
5. Kendall Reyes—UConn—6’4”-299—1st/2nd—87—Good straight line speed (4.79) for a big guy but doesn’t have the light feet you wanna see. Similar prospect to Muhammed Wilkerson last year, but Wilkerson was a better athlete. 34.5” arms are nice, combine that with 36 reps and his speed and he looks like a 1st round talent. But on film he gets stuck to blockers and doesn’t have the necessary hand skills or agility to get off. Still worth a 2nd rounder.
6. Jerel Worthy—Mich. St.—6’2”-308—1st/2nd—93—I watched him play a couple times this year and kept noticing how many plays he made. On film he shows very inconsistent effort, but when he wants to he can blow up run plays, get down the line of scrimmage, and rush the passer from the interior. He uses his hands very well, plays with leverage, and has the ability to push blockers into the backfield. He’s an impressive player when he feels like playing and for this reason will fall into the 20’s. Should stay as a 4-3 DT. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RmnbaMcdmI
7. Jared Crick—Nebraska—6’4”-279—2nd day—86—When I watched him play in college he reminded me a lot of Justin Smith, unfortunately Smith has 20+ pounds on Crick. He’s still a disruptive presence, he’s just gonna have to find his role. Sub package? Bulk up and play DT? Good motor and uses his hands as well as any DT in this draft. Even though he doesn’t have a true position, as a football player he’s still worth a 2nd.
8. Billy Winn—Boise St.—6’4”-294—2nd day—80—Probably has the best burst of the DT’s in this draft. Unfortunately he doesn’t play very strong, though he uses his hands reasonably well. He can make plays with his quickness and agility, but gets easily shield blocked. Didn’t play the best competition in the mountain west. 32.5” arms means he probably wont play well as a 5 technique, but his lack of strength (24 reps) means he’ll have trouble on the inside. I think he’d make an excellent sub package interior rusher and be even more with added strength.
9. Mike Martin—Michigan—6’1”-306—3rd round/day—71—No film out there on this kid, but his stature screams 4-3 DT. He was a stud at the senior bowl which made up for a disappointing senior season. He belongs in the 3rd round, but don’t be surprised if he slips.
10. Tyrone Crawford—Boise St.—6’4”-275—3rd round/day—74—Played DE in college. Has a good frame to play 4-3 DE. Walks around a bit before the snap sometimes, but shows his best burst with his hand in the dirt. Modest prospect with some upside, but more likely than not can just be a starting 4-3 DE who eats snaps. Think Antonio Smith.
3-4 OLB: This is another solid 3-4 OLB draft following in last years footsteps. Special part about this is the number of guys that fit the Bill Parcells mold of 6-4, 260, running a 4.6. More than I’ve ever seen in one draft, should be interesting to see who gets stood up and who plays with his hand in the dirt.
1. Whitney Mercilus—Illinois—6’4”-261—Late 1st Early 2nd—95—Shows a real good burst in passing situations. Got the measurables Belichick loves, long (34” arms), 4.6 speed, with a 1.56 10 yard split which is what running backs put up. Also got 27 reps. In passing situations he gets after it, uses his hand well and can turn the corner. Doesn’t play the run very well. I think he’s an ideal guy to stand up in the 3-4. He could play weakside 4-3 DE, especially if he puts on some lbs, but better as an OLB. Don’t take this too serious but he looks like DeMarcus Ware, also reminds me of Aldon Smith, though Mercilus is further along at this point. 16 sacks and 9 forced fumbles. I think he’s one of the hidden gems of this draft.
2. Courtney Upshaw—Alabama—6’2”-272—1st—94—Most impactful player on the best defense ever in college football. Moves around a bit and stands up sometimes. Doesn’t have a great jump off the ball. Probably has the best pass rush film in this draft. 32” arms aren’t good, but 4.7 is plenty. Sets the edge well and combats trap blocks. Good pursuit. I see a lot of Lamar Woodley in him, they both use their lack of height as an advantage to have great pad level. Not ready for coverage. Could play 4-3 DE, but better suited to stand up. Solid football player.
3. Melvin Ingram—South Carolina—6’1”-264—Top 10—93—Against Auburn he had a sack and an interception 20 yards downfield on consecutive plays. Guy is a baller who is a jack of all trades. Biggest issue is he doesn’t have a clear cut position. He’s a 4-3 DE or any linebacker spot in the 3-4. 31.5” arms aint gonna work at DE, plus he doesn’t show pass rush prowess. Will be neutralized by big tackles. His best asset is his pursuit (4.66) and more importantly his football instincts. I can see some Lamar Woodley in him as an OLB, but he might be best suited to make the Tedy Bruschi shift to ILB. I really love him as a football player but don’t see him worth a top 15 pick because he is a difficult projection to the NFL.
4. Andre Branch—Clemson—6’4”-259—2nd day—89—Got some great measurables, great size, speed (4.59) and reach (34”). He looks exactly like Roosevelt Colvin on film. Played DE with his hand in the dirt, but showed fantastic pursuit ability and athleticism which makes him a great fit as a 3-4 OLB. Doesn’t show pass rush moves or even turn the corner ability which puts him in the 2nd round, but he does show the ability to get around the tackle and force the QB to step up in the pocket. He’s a tremendous athlete that will need to be groomed but could be a steal.
5. Shea McClellin—Boise St.—6’3”-260—Early 2nd—87—Everyone one and their sister has him as a Patriot, probably cuz he’s white. Good size, speed (4.62, 1.57 split), and length (33”arms). Plays much stronger than 19 reps, good arm extension and ability to shed blocks. Inconsistent burst. Comparable to Brooks Reed last year who had more burst, but wasn’t as strong. I don’t see any pass rush moves, his pressure comes from stunts and the QB’s leaving the pocket. Doesn’t belong in the 1st round. Definitely a 3-4 player.
6. Nick Perry—USC—6’3”-271—2nd—83—Aboslute specimen, 4.5 speed, 35 reps and 33” arms. Unfortunately its straight line speed, though he does get off the ball very well. Not real good hands and was stiff when standing up at the combine. He has the type of physical ability that could make him good, but I put him in the same category as his former teammate Everson Griffin. 4-3 player, could blossom, but I don’t see enough yet. Jonathan Martin handled him.
7. Vinny Curry—Marshall—6’3”-266—2nd day—92—Looks like a big man. Definitely a 4-3 DE cuz at 4.85 and his feet he prob wont be able to stand up. When he wants to get off the ball he is the fastest in the draft, but too many times he just kind of stands up on the snap. 33” arms are sufficient. Real good hands to boot. I think he’s a better prospect than Justin Houston last year. 11+ sacks the last two years and he plays well against the run. Ran a 4.7 at his pro day.
8. Bruce Irvin—West Va.—6’3”—245—2nd day—80—Ran a blazing 4.43 at the combine. Played standing up and will need to continue to do so at the next level. Put on pounds for the combine but still is a bit light, and plays weak. Had 14 sacks as a junior and only 8.5 as a senior. He could be a sub package rusher, not every down because he is at his best when he’s moving forward. Decent player but I think is overrated because of his measurables.
9. Chandler Jones—Syracuse—6’5”-266—1st/2nd—95—Very long prospect with 35.5” arms. The 4.85 40 isn’t excellent, but not a deal breaker especially because he plays with good quickness. Looks a bit like JPP on tape, not as much lateral athletic talent though. Very stout despite 22 reps, guys with long arms tend to have fewer reps. Plays with surprising leverage and has quick violent hand moves. Could and should definitely put on a few pounds and play 4-3 DE. Shows no signs of having the necessary athleticism to stand up. Good effort and good awareness. I’m pretty confident he is going to be a solid play at the next level, maybe not dynamic because not elite athleticism. Reminds me a lot of Willie McGinest.
10. Cam Johnson—Virginia—6’3”-268—2nd day—73—Good size and athleticism, probably best as a 4-3 DE. Shows pretty good hustle, but is inconsistent. Got handled by Zebrie Sanders of FSU. Pretty strong and 35” vert is a testament to his explosiveness. Wasn’t real productive so he’s in the 3rd round because projecting his athletic ability to take over.
11. Ronnell Lewis—Oklahoma—6’2”-253—2nd day—69—Played in a 3-4 system with the sooners spending most of his time at OLB with some at DE. Looks good in zone coverage. He doesn’t show pass rush ability though. Ok speed (4.7). Reminds me a bit of Sam Acho from last year and I think he should be a 4th rounder
12. Jake Bequette—Arkansas—6’5”-275—2nd day—87—Immediately he reminded me of Jared Allen. He’s a big man with good get off speed even though he ran a 4.78 with a 1.72, more importantly he had a 34” vert at 275lbs. He’s also athletic and agile. I think at the very least he’ll be a situational pass rusher, but definitely has the size and feet to be an every down 4-3 DE despite the 32” arms. Bull rush, speed rush, and the best spin move in the draft. Got his masters already. Had 10 sacks in 10 games in the SEC.
4-3 DT: This is a pretty standard 4-3 DT class. Last year had some great players up top. Once again a lot of these guys could play anywhere on the DL but these rankings are how I think they work as a 3 technique 4-3 DT.
1. Jerel Worthy—Mich. St.—6’2”-308—1st/2nd—93—I watched him play a couple times this year and kept noticing how many plays he made. On film he shows very inconsistent effort, but when he wants to he can blow up run plays, get down the line of scrimmage, and rush the passer from the interior. He uses his hands very well, plays with leverage, and has the ability to push blockers into the backfield. He’s an impressive player when he feels like playing and for this reason will fall into the 20’s. Should stay as a 4-3 DT. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-RmnbaMcdmI
2. Michael Brockers—LSU—6’5”-322—1st—94—Bill Parcells is real high on this guy. He’s got a vicious swim move. Huge man that carries 320 well. Only 1 year as full time starter. Real young kid which makes him a projection as to how he’ll develop. Plays strong and with speed but measured in with a 5.33 40 and only 19 reps. But he’s got good feet, and played real well. I think he is scheme diverse and could be a 4-3 DT or an equally effective 3-4 DE. I think it’s a toss up between him and Cox with the scheme determining who teams will like more.
3. Fletcher Cox—Miss. St.—6’4”-298—Top 20—94—This guys climbing up peoples draft boards real fast. He has good measurables 34.5” arms and an amazing 4.79 40 makes him look good. In college he played the 4-3 DT spot and saw a lot of guard and center double teams. He shows good effort, has a solid burst when lining up across from the tackle which makes him appealing as a 3-4 DE. He’s definitely a 1st round talent, I don’t think he’s a top 10 game changer type. 3-4 is his ideal fit.
4. Dontari Poe—Memphis—6’4”-346—1st—91—Everyone knows about the 4.87 40 for a 350 pounder. Reputation is that he takes plays off, I didn’t see it on film. What I did see was a good burst, clear strength and very little impact on the game. Even when he’s in a one on one matchup he doesn’t show the ability to win. This guy screams bust. I would compare him to a bigger Marvin Austin from last year.
5. Devon Still—Penn. St.—6’5”-303—1st/2nd—92—He has the perfect body for a 3-4 DE except his arms are a hair over 33”. Another Parcells favorite. Holds his ground pretty well against double teams, but doesn’t beat them like Brockers does. Shows a tremendous burst when lined up across from a tackle which makes him better in a 3-4. Definitely a 1st round caliber talent. Better than Odrick was. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n2uZ-b0GgEQ
6. Derek Wolfe—Cinci—6’5”-295—2nd-4th round—87—Guy is a solid solid player. Makes very few mistakes and doesn’t get pushed around. He’s gonna fall a bit, but I think he is going to be a very valuable pick for whoever gets him. He’s very strong, is able to extend his arms and make plays in the running game, and shows a surprising burst in open space. I think he belongs in a 3-4. Pro comparison would be Ty Warren when he was good.
7. Kendall Reyes—UConn—6’4”-299—1st/2nd—87—Good straight line speed (4.79) for a big guy but doesn’t have the light feet you wanna see. Similar prospect to Muhammed Wilkerson last year, but Wilkerson was a better athlete. 34.5” arms are nice, combine that with 36 reps and his speed and he looks like a 1st round talent. But on film he gets stuck to blockers and doesn’t have the necessary hand skills or agility to get off. Still worth a 2nd rounder.
8. Alameda Ta’amu—Washington—6’3”-348—1st/2nd—87—This is a big man. Consistently gets double teamed. You see consistent effort out of him and good hands. He’s not elite because he lacks that quickness, but his strength and required attention make him worthy of a 2nd round pick. A lot like Phil Taylor but without the weight/character concerns.
9. Brandon Thompson—Clemson—6’2”-314—2nd day—82—Does the dirty work on the inside. A stout guy that belongs at the 4-3 DT. Some people are real high on him, I like him, but don’t think he is exceptional. I see a little Corey Luiget in his game, but Liuget is definitely better and especially more dynamic.
10. Billy Winn—Boise St.—6’4”-294—2nd day—80—Probably has the best burst of the DT’s in this draft. Unfortunately he doesn’t play very strong, though he uses his hands reasonably well. He can make plays with his quickness and agility, but gets easily shield blocked. Didn’t play the best competition in the mountain west. 32.5” arms means he probably wont play well as a 5 technique, but his lack of strength (24 reps) means he’ll have trouble on the inside. I think he’d make an excellent sub package interior rusher and be even more with added strength.
11. Mike Martin—Michigan—6’1”-306—3rd round/day—71—No film out there on this kid, but his stature screams 4-3 DT. He was a stud at the senior bowl which made up for a disappointing senior season. He belongs in the 3rd round, but don’t be surprised if he slips.
12. Nick Jean-Baptiste—Baylor—6’1”-335—3rd day—77—Short but large and stout. He can play the nose effectively and showed dominant play in the east-west shrine game. He a real strong player who can get significant push up the middle.
13. Jared Crick—Nebraska—6’4”-279—2nd day—86—When I watched him play in college he reminded me a lot of Justin Smith, unfortunately Smith has 20+ pounds on Crick. He’s still a disruptive presence, he’s just gonna have to find his role. Sub package? Bulk up and play DT? Good motor and uses his hands as well as any DT in this draft. Even though he doesn’t have a true position, as a football player he’s still worth a 2nd.
4-3 DE: This is a very good 4-3 DE group. It has a number of first round picks that are tall, big, and can move. Even beyond that it has guys that can get to the passer, and even some that are all 4.
1. Chandler Jones—Syracuse—6’5”-266—1st/2nd—95—Very long prospect with 35.5” arms. The 4.85 40 isn’t excellent, but not a deal breaker especially because he plays with good quickness. Looks a bit like JPP on tape, not as much lateral athletic talent though. Very stout despite 22 reps, guys with long arms tend to have fewer reps. Plays with surprising leverage and has quick violent hand moves. Could and should definitely put on a few pounds and play 4-3 DE. Shows no signs of having the necessary athleticism to stand up. Good effort and good awareness. I’m pretty confident he is going to be a solid play at the next level, maybe not dynamic because not elite athleticism. Reminds me a lot of Willie McGinest.
2. Quinton Coples—UNC—6’6”-284—Top 15—93—Guy has all the measurables. Runs a 4.72. Looks like DaQuan on film, except Bowers was a better football player, more instinctive. One of those rare athletes we see every 3 or so years like a Mario Williams type. I’d love to see more tenacity from him. Doesn’t play at a 4.72 speed on film, in fact looks like he has heavy feet. Shows flashes of ability on film, and I bet that’s on obvious passing downs as it’s the same disparity I saw with Robert Quinn last year who played in the same system. Does not turn the corner well. I think he is a real good athlete who could develop into a poor mans Mario Williams, but I think he has bust potential. Doesn’t play with the pad level or strength necessary to play 3-4 DE.
3. Vinny Curry—Marshall—6’3”-266—2nd day—92—Looks like a big man. Definitely a 4-3 DE cuz at 4.85 and his feet he prob wont be able to stand up. When he wants to get off the ball he is the fastest in the draft, but too many times he just kind of stands up on the snap. 33” arms are sufficient. Real good hands to boot. I think he’s a better prospect than Justin Houston last year. 11+ sacks the last two years and he plays well against the run. Ran a 4.7 at his pro day.
4. Courtney Upshaw—Alabama—6’2”-272—1st—94—Most impactful player on the best defense ever in college football. Moves around a bit and stands up sometimes. Doesn’t have a great jump off the ball. Probably has the best pass rush film in this draft. 32” arms aren’t good, but 4.7 is plenty. Sets the edge well and combats trap blocks. Good pursuit. I see a lot of Lamar Woodley in him, they both use their lack of height as an advantage to have great pad level. Not ready for coverage. Could play 4-3 DE, but better suited to stand up. Solid football player.
5. Whitney Mercilus—Illinois—6’4”-261—Late 1st Early 2nd—95—Shows a real good burst in passing situations. Got the measurables Belichick loves, long (34” arms), 4.6 speed, with a 1.56 10 yard split which is what running backs put up. Also got 27 reps. In passing situations he gets after it, uses his hand well and can turn the corner. Doesn’t play the run very well. I think he’s an ideal guy to stand up in the 3-4. He could play weakside 4-3 DE, especially if he puts on some lbs, but better as an OLB. Don’t take this too serious but he looks like DeMarcus Ware, also reminds me of Aldon Smith, though Mercilus is further along at this point. 16 sacks and 9 forced fumbles. I think he’s one of the hidden gems of this draft.
6. Melvin Ingram—South Carolina—6’1”-264—Top 10—93—Against Auburn he had a sack and an interception 20 yards downfield on consecutive plays. Guy is a baller who is a jack of all trades. Biggest issue is he doesn’t have a clear cut position. He’s a 4-3 DE or any linebacker spot in the 3-4. 31.5” arms aint gonna work at DE, plus he doesn’t show pass rush prowess. Will be neutralized by big tackles. His best asset is his pursuit (4.66) and more importantly his football instincts. I can see some Lamar Woodley in him as an OLB, but he might be best suited to make the Tedy Bruschi shift to ILB. I really love him as a football player but don’t see him worth a top 15 pick because he is a difficult projection to the NFL.
7. Jake Bequette—Arkansas—6’5”-275—2nd day—87—Immediately he reminded me of Jared Allen. He’s a big man with good get off speed even though he ran a 4.78 with a 1.72, more importantly he had a 34” vert at 275lbs. He’s also athletic and agile. I think at the very least he’ll be a situational pass rusher, but definitely has the size and feet to be an every down 4-3 DE despite the 32” arms. Bull rush, speed rush, and the best spin move in the draft. Got his masters already. Had 10 sacks in 10 games in the SEC.
8. Nick Perry—USC—6’3”-271—2nd—83—Aboslute specimen, 4.5 speed, 35 reps and 33” arms. Unfortunately its straight line speed, though he does get off the ball very well. Not real good hands and was stiff when standing up at the combine. He has the type of physical ability that could make him good, but I put him in the same category as his former teammate Everson Griffin. 4-3 player, could blossom, but I don’t see enough yet. Jonathan Martin handled him.
9. Cam Johnson—Virginia—6’3”-268—2nd day—74—Good size and athleticism, probably best as a 4-3 DE. Shows pretty good hustle, but is inconsistent. Got handled by Zebrie Sanders of FSU. Pretty strong and 35” vert is a testament to his explosiveness. Wasn’t real productive so he’s in the 3rd round because projecting his athletic ability to take over.
10. Tyrone Crawford—Boise St.—6’4”-275—3rd round/day—74—Played DE in college. Has a good frame to play 4-3 DE. Walks around a bit before the snap sometimes, but shows his best burst with his hand in the dirt. Modest prospect with some upside, but more likely than not can just be a starting 4-3 DE who eats snaps. Think Antonio Smith.
4-3 OLB: Below average OLB draft for the 4-3. I couldn’t find one Sam prospect that belongs in the first two days of the draft. What’s interesting about this draft is the number of 240+ lb guys that run in the 4.4 range. Just absolute freak athletes.
1. Lavonte David—Nebraska—6’1”-233—2nd round—85—Love him as a football player. Watched him play a few times and he was always all over the field. Played OLB and MLB. Unfortunately he is pretty small which would make him a Will ideally. Good speed, good tackling ability, great pursuit and excellent instincts. Great in coverage. I think he is a solid football player and deserving of a 2nd rounder.
2. Sean Spence—Miami—5’11”-231—3rd round/day—80—Super athletic guy, ran a 4.56 which is very good for a backer and he plays at least that fast. When I watch him I’m reminded of Bob Sanders. He plays way off the ball at times and is able to meet running backs at the line of scrimmage. He has good instincts, loves contact, and was super productive in college. He will certainly be a good special teamer. His quickness and aggressiveness combined with being undersized and weak (12 reps) would make him a good in the box safety. It’s a tough projection but if he can drop weight and learn the position he could make it.
3. Bobby Wagner—Utah St.—6’0”-241—2nd day—78—Tackling machine (143 last year) with blazing sub 4.5 speed. He’s another short linebacker but is built real sturdy. He is aggressive and sticks his nose into the hole which complements his strength of pursuit. He will be a solid will backer and a great special teamer.
4. Bruce Irvin—West Va.—6’3”—245—2nd day—80—Ran a blazing 4.43 at the combine. Played standing up and will need to continue to do so at the next level. Put on pounds for the combine but still is a bit light, and plays weak. Had 14 sacks as a junior and only 8.5 as a senior. He could be a sub package rusher, not every down because he is at his best when he’s moving forward. Decent player but I think is overrated because of his measurables.
5. Zach Brown—UNC—6’1”—244—2nd round—76—Guys a freak. 4.44 40, 1.52 10 yard split at his size is absurd. He moves very well, and is surprising good when moving laterally. He’s a good blitzer and can make big plays with his speed. Doesn’t play to contact, kinda shys away from it, and has trouble wrapping up ball carriers. He plays a bit like Akeem Ayers last year, and despite being much faster, Ayers was a better football player.
6. Ronnell Lewis—Oklahoma—6’2”-253—2nd day—69—Played in a 3-4 system with the sooners spending most of his time at OLB with some at DE. Looks good in zone coverage. He doesn’t show pass rush ability though. Ok speed (4.7). Reminds me a bit of Sam Acho from last year and I think he should be a 4th rounder
7. Mychal Kendricks—Cal—5’11”-239—2nd day—68—Obviously pretty short, but he has a serious burst (4.41) and plays like that. Likes contact too. As an OLB as a junior he put up 9 sacks, moving to the inside his senior year he collected 100+ tackles. He has versatility and his speed will make him an effective blitzer, problem is he is so short that he probably wont be an every down player. His best chance is as a sub package LB or maybe a 3-4 ILB. The success of Navarro Bowman makes me hesistant on bashing this guy.
ILB: This is a typical inside linebacker class with one of two top notch prospects/sure things and then some guys that have issues afterwards. Most of these guys don’t show up on this guide cuz I don’t care about them, but at the top of the draft Kuechly is a man who is going to be a top 3 MLB in the NFL for at least a decade zero doubt in my mind.
1. Luke Kuechly—BC—6’3”-242—Top 15—98—Stud middle backer, tackling machine, intelligent, good size, great pursuit, good coverage skills, aggressive and hard nosed. I have nothing bad to say about him. He’s a stud who deserves to be a top 10 pick. Best MLB prospect in recent memory, yes better than Rolando McClain. 500+ tackles in 3 years, 4.5 40 and 38” vert, need I say more?
2. Dont’a Hightower—Alabama—6’2”-265—1st—92—Man in the middle for the tide. Big ILB prospect who plays well downhill. He even played a bit as an edge rusher during passing situations. He was surrounded by excellent talent which concerns me a bit, but for a big dude moving at 4.62 with his blitzing ability I think he would be an excellent ILB in a 3-4. I could see the Steelers drafting him. He’s a solid player, reminds me of Karlos Dansby.
3. Lavonte David—Nebraska—6’1”-233—2nd round—85—Love him as a football player. Watched him play a few times and he was always all over the field. Played OLB and MLB. Unfortunately he is pretty small which would make him a Will ideally. Good speed, good tackling ability, great pursuit and excellent instincts. Great in coverage. I think he is a solid football player and deserving of a 2nd rounder.
CB: This is a good class of corners. Its special because it has depth beyond just like the first 3 prospects. There are four corners that could be legitimate perennial pro-bowlers and deserve to be in the top half of the first round. Even after that there are solid cornerback prospects in the 2nd and 3rd rounds which is more than I could say about the last few drafts. Look for Jenkins to be the sleeper of the bunch.
1. Morris Claiborne—LSU—5’11”-188—Top 7—98—Tremendous athlete, all the attributes you wanna see, 4.47 isn’t great but on film he can run with anybody. His 33.5” arms are what set him apart and will allow him to play press. He has good hips and feet and the ability to drive on the ball. He plays physical with receivers but doesn’t tackle well. Is a much better cover corner than Patrick Peterson. He creates turnovers (11 picks in 2 years) which is the name of the game. Can fit in any system.
2. Stephon Gilmore—South Carolina—6’0”-190—1st—96—Late riser up draft boards. Long athlete with good (4.44) speed. Really really good man to man cover guy. Played press and off coverage, but I think he’s the best man to man corner in this draft. Reminds me Nmamdi actually. His arms aren’t super long (31”) but he is still a long guy that can play with tall receivers. Looks good around the goaline and is a willing tackler. Trouble coming forward out of his backpedal but has excellent hips. Will need to learn how to better use his hands, but has potential to be a shutdown corner.
3. Janoris Jenkins—North Alabama—5’10”-193—1st—95—Originally went to Florida then transferred cuz he liked to exercise his bong. Crazy athletic, ran a 4.44 with an insane 1.47 10 yard split. Fluid athlete that attaches to receivers like a parasite. Reminds me of Patrick Robinson with how athletic he is and how good he looks running drills. Difference is Jenkins is way better on the field than Robinson was. If he can stay outta trouble he could challenge to be the best cover corner in this draft. Shut down A.J. Green and Julio Jones, he’s a boss on the field.
4. Dre Kirkpatrick—Alabama—6’2”-186—Top 20—94—Real long corner, even though he’s got t-rex arms. He’s the best run support corner in this draft. He attacks ball carriers with no fear. Probably best as a zone corner because he excels at reading the QB’s eyes and jumping routes. Ideally a cover 2 corner who can stay in a short zone. He’s tested fast (4.46), but doesn’t play that fast. Dre is just a football player that’s why I think he’ll be a very good corner in the NFL.
5. Casey Hayward—Vandy—5’11”-192—2nd day—87—Dude had 7 picks in the SEC this past year. He has great awareness on the field and can be a fantastic zone cornerback much like Asante. I think he’s the sleeper of this class and deserves to hear his name early on day 2. He has good size, aggressiveness, football IQ, and ran a respectable 4.52 for a zone corner
6. Jayron Hosley—Va. Tech—5’10”-178—2nd round—83—Not a huge guy but has great feet. Reminds me a bit of Brent Grimes, but is faster and attacks the line of scrimmage better. Grimes has better hips though. He looks like a 2nd rounder on film but if I were to go back two years he would be neck and neck with Kyle Wilson.
7. Josh Robinson—UCF—5’11”-199—2nd day—80—Workout warrior, ran a 4.33 with a 38.5” vert. On film he looks ok, maybe 3rd round worthy, he got torched by A.J. Green. He played a lot of man and was effective at is a valuable talent. I think he has good size and plenty of athleticism and with some good coaching should be a solid corner.
8. Chase Minnifield—Virginia—5’10”-183—2nd day—77—Missed combine with a knee injury, but was a solid corner in college. He’s a talented corner with good size and athleticism. Has terrible effort. Part of it is he’s always in zone and that he has a natural stride, but he looks lazy which ain’t gonna work at the next level. But his talent shows through and is deserving of a 3rd round pick.
9. Trumaine Johnson—Montana—6’2”-204—2nd day—83—Played press corner in college. He’ll make the switch to safety in the pros cuz he doesn’t have great feet or hips. Long and strong athlete with 4.5 speed and 19 reps. Very aggressive player that attacks the ball and ball carriers which lends well to a safety. He looks just like Jimmy Smith from last year. The projection to safety is a bit tough, but I think he leaves too much room between himself and receivers. Shows blizting ability. 15 career picks combined with his size and speed make him 2nd round.
10. Brandon Boykin—Georgia—5’9”—182—2nd day—72—Faster than quick (4.42). Doesn’t have very good hips. Has return potential and played a bit of offense too. Too small to be on the outside and will have to play slot corner which might be the toughest position on defense. I’m not convinced he has the burst and change of direction ability to play there so he gets a late grade
11. Alfonzo Dennard—Nebraska—5’10”-204—2nd day—60—Watched him a few times this year and was pretty impressed. Alshon Jeffrey took advantage of him a few times then they decided to fight but other than that I had all good impressions. Similar build to Amukamara but slower with a 4.51. Once thought to be 1st rounder. Had rough senior bowl exposing his sub par hips. Could be a good press corner, and actually had a good season. Prob 2nd round talent, but he’s a head case so prob 5th to later, oh and he assaulted a police officer a week ago, retard.
S: This is an average safety class and it’s not deep which is going to cause teams to reach for safeties. I think Barron is a bit overhyped and Smith is too. I think there won’t be more than 3 pure safeties taken before day 3.
1. Mark Barron—Alabama—6’1”-213—Top 20—93—Pretty big safety, but moves well for his size. He’s an instinctive player who tackles well and can match up against tight ends or play zone coverage. He is the best safety of the past two years while Earl Thomas and Eric Berry were both much better prospects. Does not have elite burst or ball hawking skills which pushes him into the 2nd half of round 1 for me. This draft is lacking in talented safeties which drives up his value. His stock has been skyrocketing and I think it’s a bit unfounded though he is a solid 1st rounder I think Meriweather was a better prospect when he came out.
2. Harrison Smith—Notre Dame—6’2”-213—1st/2nd—86—Lotta people have him going to the Pats. He instantly reminded me of Patrick Chung which supports that theory. He’s similarly aggressive but he isn’t as athletic. A bit big for safety nowadays and shows average coverage ability. I think he’s getting pushed up the board like Barron is. I’d like to see him make more big plays too. 4.56 and 19 reps are pretty good, I’m not convinced he’s a difference maker though.
3. Brandon Taylor—LSU—5’11”-209—3rd round/day—83—Good athlete (4.5), looks longer than he measured in at. Pretty aggressive. Had some trouble tackling Trent but that’s to be expected, solid otherwise. He doesn’t look lost in coverage, more of a zone guy. He’ll provide value in the 3rd. Could develop into a nice starter.
4. Trumaine Johnson—Montana—6’2”-204—2nd day—83—Played press corner in college. He’ll make the switch to safety in the pros cuz he doesn’t have great feet or hips. Long and strong athlete with 4.5 speed and 19 reps. Very aggressive player that attacks the ball and ball carriers which lends well to a safety. He looks just like Jimmy Smith from last year. The projection to safety is a bit tough, but I think he leaves too much room between himself and receivers. Shows blizting ability. 15 career picks combined with his size and speed make him 2nd round.
KR/PR:
1. Joe Adams WR Arkansas
2. Chris Rainey RB Florida
3. Lamar Miller RB Miami
4. Janoris Jenkins CB North Alabama
Sleepers:
Juron Criner WR Arizona
Derek Wolfe DE Cincinnati
Whitney Mercilus OLB Illinois
Vinny Curry DE Marshall
Jake Bequette DE Arkansas
Casey Hayward CB Vandy
Sean Spence LB Miami
Ryan Broyles WR Oklahoma
Patriots’ Perspective
I predicted during the 2010 season that the Pats were a lock to win the super bowl in 2012. My reasons at the time were the fact that all our 2009 draft picks (Chung, Vollmer, Brace, Butler, Tate etc.) and Mayo would be in their final year of their contracts, and we were going to have at least 6 picks in the top 2 rounds of the 2011 and 2012 drafts. Even though a bunch of those guys blew, the Pats are still in a good position cuz the offense is basically set, and we have some solid players in our defense. The problem is we have missed on too many draft picks on defense (Butler, Brace, Cunningham, Wheatley). Although we also have found contributors late in the draft (Kyle Love, Deaderick).
What we need to do in this draft is to focus on our sub package defense. We play well over half our snaps with 5 defensive backs so we need to draft to support that. Right now we have Arrington, Dowling, McCourty, Chung, Sterling Moore, and Will Allen on the back end. There are always injuries, and we’ve seen a lot of DB’s play shitty so I’m all for drafting D-backs. Also, if we don’t bring back Andre Carter we’re gonna need an outside backer and a DE (unless we believe Ron Brace can be that guy, I’m doubtful). Ideally I’d like to see an outside backer at 27 then a DB at 31. I think there is more depth at 3-4 DE in the 2nd than there is for OLB’s.
What I think will happen is a trade back from one of our first rounders to about 40 that will come with a 4th and a 5th. Belichick doesn’t have picks after the 4th round currently, and don’t delude yourself into thinking he’s gonna sit out almost half the draft. I think with our remaining 1st rounder we’ll draft a DB, I think it will be Chase Minnifield from Virginia. In the second round I see us drafting a DE, hopefully Derek Wolfe from Cinci. Also in the 2nd I see an outside backer, maybe one of the Boise State guys. After that we will likely draft an interior O-lineman and fill the draft out with an offensive skill position with return ability and more D-backs.
I have complete faith in Belichick so I’m gonna be excited about whoever we draft. Last year I didn’t give Solder a good grade and Belichick’s looking pretty smart with that pick. All hail.
Ideals Picks:
27: Whitney Mercilus OLB, Illnois
31: Devon StillDE, Diddler U
48: Casey HaywardCB, Vandy
62: Trade for Future 2 plus 5th and 6th
93: Brandon TaylorS, LSU