2011 NFL Draft
Draft Overview: This is an average draft. It’s tough to compare it to last year because that draft was unreal. Last year only about 3 teams needed QB’s this year its more like 8-10. That means quarterbacks are going to be overvalued and a bunch are gonna be taken in the first round, more than belong. This year’s strength is that it has so much defensive line talent it’s ridiculous.
The most unique aspect of this draft is that there is almost no untouchable player. Everyone has something against them : Nick Fairley’s a one hit wonder, DaQuan Bowers has a knee, Patrick Peterson is too big to play CB, the list goes on. So more than most drafts this one depends on projections, and in some cases getting lucky.
Belichick is always right, I learned that last year after I thought McCourty was a number 2 corner and he turned out to be a shutdown. I’ll never question him again.
Organization: Each Position has a positional overview and each player is shown as:
Name—College—Height-Weight—Probable Draft Position—Rating—Description
The rating is out of 100.
A rating in the 90’s means 1st round grade, 95 is worth a mid first rounder
A rating in the 80’s means 2nd round grade, 82 is worth a late 2nd rounder
A rating in the 70’s means 3rd round grade, 78 is worth an early 3rd rounder
A rating in the 60’s or lower means a 3rd day prospect
Best overall:
1. A.J. Green 99 WR
2. Patrick Peterson 99 CB
3. Marcell Dareus 99 DT
4. DaQuan Bowers 97 DE
5. Von Miller 97 OLB
6. Nick Fairley 96 DT
7. Cam Newton 96 QB
8. Prince Amukamara 96 CB
9. Robert Quinn 96 DE
10. J.J. Watt 95 DE
11. Blaine Gabbert 95 QB
12. Anthony Castonzo 95 OT
13. Tyron Smith 95 OT
14. Corey Liuget 95 DT
15. Julio Jones 95 WR
16. Ryan Kerrigan 94 DE
17. Cameron Heyward 94 DE
18. Cameron Jordan 94 DE
19. Mark Ingram 94 RB
20. Mike Pouncey 93 C/G
21. Aldon Smith 93 DE
22. Derek Sherrod 93 OT
23. Stephen Paea 93 DT
24. Adrian Clayborn 93 DE
25. Brandon Harris 92 CB
26. Gabe Carimi 92 OT
27. Justin Houtson 91 DE
28. Ryan Mallett 91 QB
29. Jonathan Baldwin 90 WR
30. Ras-I-Dowling 90 CB
31. Danny Watkins 90 G
32. Brooks Reed 89 DE
33. Jake Locker 89 QB
34. Kyle Rudolph 89 TE
35. Andy Dalton 88 QB
36. Nate Solder 88 OT
37. Muhammed Wilkerson 88 DE
38. Jimmy Smith 88 CB
39. Marvin Austin 87 DT
40. Titus Young 87 WR
41. Leonard Hankerson 87 WR
42. Akeem Ayers 86 OLB
43. Aaron Williams 86 CB/S
44. Drake Nevis 86 DT
45. DeMarco Murray 86 RB
46. Bruce Carter 85 ILB
47. Mikel Leshoure 85 RB
48. Ryan Williams 85 RB
49. Kelvin Sheppard 85 OLB
50. Randall Cobb 85 WR
51. Rahim Moore 85 S
52. Greg Little 84 WR
53. Kendrick Burney 84 CB
54. Phil Taylor 83 DT
55. Torrey Smtih 83 WR
56. Daniel Thomas 82 RB
57. Allen Bailey 82 DE
58. Jabaal Sheard 82 DE/OLB
59. Greg Romeus 81 DE
60. Jerrel Jernigan 80 WR
61. Christian Ponder 80 QB
62. Ben Ijalana 80 T/G
63. Orlando Franklin 79 T/G
64. Kendall Hunter 79 RB
65. Marcus Gilchrist 77 S/CB
66. Delone Carter 77 RB
67. Jordan Todman 77 RB
68. Austin Pettis 76 WR
69. Marcus Cannon 76 G
70. Jacquizz Rodgers 76 RB
71. Martez Wilson 75 LB
72. Roy Helu Jr. 75 RB
73. Brandon Burton 74 CB
74. Casey Matthews 74 LB
75. Noel Devine 74 RB
76. Quan Sturdivant 73 ILB
77. Derrick Locke 72 RB
78. Edmund Gates 70 WR
79. Sam Acho 70 LB
QB: Evaluating quarterbacks is nearly impossible. Obviously if the NFL professionals only get qb’s right 30% of the time then my chances aren’t great. This position, more than any other, is influenced by intangibles (intelligence, work ethic, leadership), and that’s something I just can’t be sure of. That being said, this class is uniquely questionable. Every QB has a ‘ya but’ when you talk about them. Ryan Mallett-great talent ya but he’s got character concerns etc. I think we will look back at this draft and say one good QB came outta the first tier, kinda like 2005 (Aaron Rodgers). The problem is how do you know which one? Grading the QB position in particular becomes a lot about potential, and due to the value of the position that potential has great value. I think this class is subpar simply because there is not that one guy like a Bradford or Matt Ryan.
1.) Cam Newton—Auburn—6’5”-248—Top 15—96—Watched every game this year, and it took me until about November to realize he actually has first round potential as a thrower. The guy has every physical tool you’d ever want in a QB. Quick and high throwing motion, plenty of arm strength, shows better accuracy than Locker, and there’s reason to believe that will improve when he straightens out his footwork. I think he has excellent intangibles, and the guy’s won back to back national championships so he’s clearly a winner. The issues are the fact that he does have bad footwork and thus some accuracy concerns, and more importantly his reads at Auburn were elementary even for college. He’s gonna have to make some serious strides in the mental aspect, but he’ll get picked real high for talent and more importantly cuz he’s super marketable and is gonna make the team a shitload of money.
2.) Blaine Gabbert—Missouri—6’4”-234—Top 10—95—Everybody’s #1 QB in the draft. He’s not mine. Spread system, has been working with the same QB coach as Stafford, Josh Freeman, and Sam Bradford which bodes well. Got the arm, got the athleticism (4.6 40), gonna have to make the reads as is the case for all the QB’s in this draft. I think he definitely has what it takes to be a real good starter in the NFL. It’s going to take him time just like with Cam Newton, I just like Cam’s winning track record more than Gabbert’s mediocre record.
3.) Ryan Mallett—Arkansas—6’7”-253—1st-2nd—91—Lanky bastard. Obvious character concerns. I bet the Raiders love him. Real productive in college and coming outta Bobby Petrino offense he’s virtually pro ready, prob the most pro ready quarterback in the draft, minus his character issues. He’s cement in the pocket. Pro comparison is Kerry Collins. I love everything about him throwing the football, unreal arm strength, good accuracy, quick and high delivery. I think he’s a late 1st rounder purely because of his lack of pocket presence/mobility.
4.) Jake Locker—Washington—6’3”-231—1st-2nd—89—Nobody knows what’s up with this guy. I want to like him I really do, but I watch his delivery and his release point’s pretty low, his accuracy on film is wildly inconsistent. He played with subpar talent, but he also didn’t live up to his potential even with an extra year at school. For everyone who said he would’ve been the #1 pick last year, I think he would’ve dropped after he declared cuz Sam Bradford was a clear #1. All in all I think he’s worth a flier in the 2nd round cuz of his physical tools and his intangibles. Some coach is gonna think he has the key to making Locker the next Aaron Rodgers and might take him top 20. Like him outta the pocket like Rapelisberger, but in the pocket he just hasn’t shown it.
5.) Andy Dalton—TCU—6’2”-215—2nd—88—Have to like this ginger. 4 year starter, pure winner. McShay would shag him if he could. You gotta like his experience, gotta love his intangibles, gotta love his mobility. Arm strength isn’t superb, but neither was Joe Montana’s. Good accuracy, decent pocket presence, I think he belongs in the 2nd round cuz of his height, and because of the college style spread offense he’s coming out of.
6.) Christian Ponder—FSU—6’2”-229—2nd—80—Got his degree in 2 and a half years, so clearly an obnoxious overachiever. But on the field he’s good, not great. I’d compare him to Colt McCoy, I think Ponder has more arm strength, but Colt was more of a winner. Every time I watch him I think how he’s not exceptional. He makes good throws, but you don’t see great throws. Personally I see him as a backup. 3rd round grade.
7.) Ricky Stanzi—Iowa—6’4”-223—3rd round/day—59—Mel Kiper’s boy. Game manager, at best he becomes that in the pro’s. Has all the qualities of a long term backup. I think a backup qb like him is worth a 5th.
8.) Colin Kaepernick—Nevada—6’5”-230—Day 2—56—Really awkward delivery. It just doesn’t seem right, but its quick and he’s got an underrated strong arm. More of a runner than a thrower in college, but he does have all the tools (height, arm talent, mobility) to be successful. Someone’s gonna pick him day 2 knowing full well he’s a boom or bust, and I’m leaning heavily towards bust.
9.) T.J. Yates—UNC—6’3”-225—3rd day—43—He’s real accurate, completes passes, lacks arm strength. Played his senior year without his best teammates cuz they all got suspended. Don’t be surprised if he goes undrafted, but this guy reminds me of Brian Hoyer.
10.) Pat Devlin—Delaware—6’3”-225—3rd day—40—Everyone and their mother is making the Joe Flacco comparison, but don’t believe the hype. He’s just some dude who played well in D-1AA wearing his wanna be Michigan helmet. Btw, Joe Flacco’s not amazing anyway, Bledsoe anyone?
11.) Greg McElroy—Alabama—6’2”-220—3rd day—40—Everyone knows about the 48 outta 50 on the wonderlic, this dudes strictly annoying. I don’t see him cutting it in the pros, his height, arrogance, and lack of arm talent are gonna get in his way. Wouldn’t be surprised if he goes undrafted.
12.) Tyrod Taylor—Virginia Tech—6’1”-217—3rd day—57—The guy is trying to be a qb, but a 37.5” vert, 4.5, and a 126” broad jump at 6’1” tells you he’s a receiver.
RB: There are a lot of running backs in this class in the 2nd-4th round range, that means real good value from 3rd-5th. Last year’s class had Spiller and Jahvid Best as home run hitters. This year doesn’t have one in the first 3 rounds unless someone reaches. There are a lot of undersized guys. When people hear undersized they think 3rd down back, but this class has a lot of undersized guys that don’t necessarily fit a 3rd down player. I like running backs too much so this was the hardest position to put in order
1.) Mark Ingram—Alabama—5’9”-215—1st—94—Heisman winner, purely a natural runner. Great patience and outstanding at reading his blocks. 4.6 40, but a 1.53 in the 10 yard split which was best among running backs. Guys got serious burst, serious strength. Comes out as most polished rb since Mendenhall. Concerns about his knee. Great screen player. They compare him to Emmitt, and I gotta say I see it. The #22 doesn’t hurt, but he runs with his instincts and natural style like Emmitt did, not to fast, but great burst and great at following his blockers. Now Emmitt played behind one of the biggest and best O-lines ever, Ingram played behind a big stout line at Bama so he might need that at the next level to be as successful as possible. But I believe he belongs in the 1st round.
2.) DeMarco Murray—Oklahoma—6’0”-213-2nd day—86—Once thought to be a 1st rounder, his stock fell quick and is slightly rising as of late. Runs straight up too much which is probably the cause of his injury history. Ran a 4.4 and definitely plays at least that fast. Is the best receiving back in the draft (71 catches in 2010). I like him. He reminds me of Adrian Peterson in his style. I think he’s worth a 2nd rounder assuming the medical exams check out. Has the ability to be the breakout running back of this class.
3.) Mikel Leshoure—Illinois—6’0”-227—late 1 early 2—85—He’s the big back in this draft. Gotta like the 38” vert. He’s got good leg churn and definitely some athleticism to go with the size. Good forward lean, runs with momentum. Doesn’t break a lot of tackles, and doesn’t have finishing speed (4.6). Has a really good burst through the hole. Follows his blockers but doesn’t have exceptional vision. I think he gives value in the 50’s, but someone’s gonna really like him and don’t be surprised if he goes before Ingram. 6 ypc senior year. Pro comparison is Marshawn Lynch, though I think Lynch plays tougher.
4.) Ryan Williams—Virginia Tech—5’9”-212—2nd day—85—I like him a lot from his 2009 tape. He’s got great vision, above average burst through the hole, good elusiveness at the 2nd level, and has enough build to stand up to punishment. Going into 2010 he had a bulls eye on his chest and performance went down, but he had some injuries and missed 4 games. 4.6 at combine, but 4.45 at the pro day, but on tape doesn’t show separation speed otherwise we might be talking about him in the 1st like Ryan Mathews last year. I like him for the Pats. Natural receiver. Needs to exercise 5 points of pressure on the football. 40” vert.
5.) Daniel Thomas—Kansas State—6’0”-230—2nd day—82—Big back that can move. Carries his weight well. If he ran a 4.5 would prob be a 1st rounder but he ran a 4.6. Needs to protect the ball better. I wish he played with better pad level then he could play with more power than the elusiveness he insists on. I think he’s a late 2 early 3. Hugely productive at school, and consistent. Runs too straight up which will prob make his shelf life pretty short. NFL comparison is Frank Gore, if Thomas could match Gore’s pad level and how he protects himself and the ball, I don’t see why he couldn’t be a similar back. Some experience receiving (mostly screens).
6.) Kendall Hunter—Ok State—5’7”-199—2nd day—79—Obviously a little guy, gets lost behind his blockers a lot. I think he has pretty average patience, I think he has good vision, and he definitely has great acceleration. I really liked him at the combine, has a good lateral move, but not super elusive. Definitely breaks more tackles than you would expect kind of in a Travis Henry way. NFL comparison would be Lesean McCoy with the acceleration but same lack of top end speed, McCoy’s more elusive. I like him in the 3rd round. People want to make him a 3rd down back but I don’t think that’s necessary, plus he didn’t catch a lotta balls in college either.
7.) Delone Carter—Syracuse—5’9”-222—3rd round/day—77—Watch this run: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GwFntQnWeEQ . Thickly built individual. Displays real good balance and surprising elusiveness for a man his size. 4.57 so he aint running away from you. Good in blitz pickup. Cuts upfield with a nice burst. I like him in the 3rd because he’s probably the strongest back in this draft, and he’s got some playmaking ability to go with it.
8.) Jordan Todman—UCONN—5’9”-203—3rd round/day—77—Pride of Dartmouth Mass. Gotta love the 4.4, 38” vert and 25 reps of 225. Doesn’t make a lotta cuts, more of a downhill guy even though he’s only 205. I’d like to see him run with more power. If there isn’t a lane for him to plant his foot and explode into he doesn’t really do anything. Brings something to the receiving game. I see some Clinton Portis in his game which is good, especially if he has the good fortune of winding up in Washington with Mike Shanahan. 3rd round grade just because he doesn’t play with the strength a 2nd rounder should.
9.) Jacquizz Rodgers—Oregon St—5’6”-196—3rd round/day—76—Absolute workhorse. Dude got almost 1000 touches in the last 3 years without missing a game, aka durable, aka lotta punishment. Low center of gravity, looks like Mojo Drew, but doesn’t have the same power/gerth. I think he’s real good value in the 3rd. Good short area burst. I think he’s someone who could have an impact right away. Oh and did I mention he had 78 catches in 2009.
10.) Roy Helu Jr.—Nebraska—6’0”-220—3rd day—75—Size and speed (4.42). You wish he could get up more than 11 reps though. Everytime I watched him this year I was impressed. He runs the football, prob not a blocker or receiver, but put the ball in his hands and he runs hard and fast. Last year Ben Tate and Ryan Mathews were the only guys 220lb and 4.4 40 and they went in rounds 1 and 2. Helu was more productive than Tate in college and someone may steal him on day 3. Can you say sleeper?
11.) Noel Devine—West Virginia—5’8”-179—3rd day—74—He’s just a little guy. One of the craziest High School highlight reels Ive ever seen. His size is the determining factor here, maybe ppl think he’s a receiver like Dexter McCluster last year, but I see him as a receiver outta the backfield. Wish he showed more balance in a Danny Woodhead type way, but he’s super quick, super elusive. I think he’s a 4th round prospect but might sneak into day 2. 4.29 at his pro day. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L6CqA7hEzw8
12.) Derrick Locke—Kentucky—5’8”-188—3rd round/day—72—Definitely a change of pace and more likely a 3rd down back. He’s got that 4.4 40. I think he’s one of the best options in this draft for someone looking for a pure 3rd down back.
13.) Shane Vereen—Cal—5’10”-210—3rd round/day—69—Reasonably shifty little guy. Experience catching the football. Definitely a 3rd down back at the next level. 4.5 40 which is decent for what he is. Nothing real special here.
14.) Jamie Harper—Clemson—5’11”-233—3rd day—65—I like him. He shows flashes of greatness. Surprising lateral mobility and elusiveness. He looks every bit of 233lbs. Ran a 4.59 and looks on film closer to a 4.52 or so. Punishes tacklers, hurdles people, side steps them. When he gets in the hole and turns it up people wanna get out the way. He’s got some serious potential, enough that he might make it to the 3rd round, but I give him a 4th round grade because he’s impressive, but wildly inconsistent (3.9 ypc). Though he did have 37 catches for 320.
15.) Taiwan Jones—Eastern Washington—6’0”-194—3rd day—65—Played D-1AA. Only reason we’re even talking about him is cuz he ran a 4.29 at his pro day. On film he runs closer to 4.35. Steps out of a lot of tackles because people are diving at his ankles chasing him down. Shows good acceleration and top speed. Runs too upright and I think he’ll take too many hits. Would like to see better receiving skills as that will be his role in the pro’s. Don’t be surprised if someone grabs him day 2.
16.) Dion Lewis—Pitt-5’7”-193—3rd round/day—63—Was dirty in 2009, but wasn’t quite the same in 2010. I thought I liked him, but on film he doesn’t do much. Good vision and patience, but you can get someone who gets whats there (BJGE) later than the 3rd. I like that he has experience catching the ball, but for some reason I just don’t see it in him, at best a #2 option. 5th round grade.
17.) Alex Green—Hawaii—6’0”-225—3rd day—63—Displays good vision, but you don’t see him do much other than running through big holes. Looks like he has heavy feet on film, but maybe he’s deceivingly fast cuz defenders consistently take bad angles on him (4.6). McShays boy. I think he’s a mid round pick, might be a reach before the 5th. People go on and on about his pass catching ability, but I think there are much better receiving backs available in this draft.
18.) Mario Fannin—Auburn—5’10”-231—3rd day—52—He was Auburn’s 3rd back this year, but did get a lot of time. I was shocked when he ran a 4.38 at the combine. It doesn’t change much for me because I didn’t see him rip many if any long runs this year, but he was serviceable as the bigger back. I don’t really see him giving much value as a running back, but if youre 230lbs and run a sub 4.4 you can play on my kickoff team anyday. 5th-6th rounder.
WR: A.J. Green is a boy. These top 2 are Legit and have been dominating the SEC since they were freshman. After them there is a serious bunching of talent in the early to middle 2nd round. Because theres so many of those guys some of them are gonna fall into the late 2nd and even the 3rd. After that there are several deep threats in the middle rounds. I think this is a very good wideout class, somewhat comparable to 2009.
1.) A.J. Green—Georgia—6’4”-211—Top 10—99—He’s the real deal. This guy has the most natural hands I’ve ever seen coming into the draft. He has amazing balls skills, he makes plays outside the numbers, between the hashes, catches screens he does everything. Surprising ability after the catch. Last year I fell in love with Dez Bryant’s ball skills, this guy is a more complete player with at least as much upside. Good route runner, finds holes in the zone, sets up defenders, and really makes the game look easy, the Browns would be retarded not to take him at 6. 4.48 is pretty good, plays fast. Suspended for selling a jersey so prob no real character issues.
2.) Julio Jones—Alabama—6’3”-220—Top 15—95—Absolute freak. 4.39, more than 11 foot broad jump, 38.5” vert. I remember watching him play spring ball as a freshman and he was unstoppable. Problem with him is he doesn’t play as fast as advertised. But he gets great position, has goodish hands, and will instantly be one of the most physical receivers in the NFL. Catches a lot of hitches, slants, crosses, and outs. Doesn’t get downfield real often which is a big reason Aj’s ahead of him. Reminds me of Brandon Marshall in that he uses his body well, catches short passes and is real physical after the catch. Ideal receiver for west coast offense.
3.) Jonathan Baldwin—Pitt—6’4”-228—2nd—90—Enormous and athletic, at one point rumored to be a top 15 pick. Ran a 4.5 with a 42” vert, let me repeat 42” vert at 228lbs. His coach said he is the best he’s ever seen at adjusting to the football. Think Dwayne Bowe with hops. Not a real burst guy, but when he gets cooking downfield he can run by people. Would like to see him be more dangerous after the catch. Is gonna make a living on the deep in. I see him as a 1st round talent.
4.) Titus Young—Boise St.-5’11”-174—2nd day—87—I noticed him early this fall when Boise played Va Tech and I named him this year’s Mike Wallace/Johnny Knox/Desean Jackson. Then everyone noticed him and my 4th round sleeper became a 2nd round probable. I still think he warrants a 2nd round pick cuz he makes shit happen. A few character concerns too. Some people want him in the slot, but he’s gonna play exactly the way Mike Wallace does, just prob not quite as good. He adds value as a returner.
5.) Leonard Hankerson—Miami—6’2”-209—2nd day—87—Was very impressive this fall. In pads looks at least 6’3”. Really good natural huge hands (10.5” hands), good ball skills. Deceptively fast (4.43), but it’s a building speed like Jon Baldwin, not quick acceleration. He looks like a solid receiver, with a well rounded game, will need to work on route running. He’s just a really good solid player. Reminds me of Kenny Britt.
6.) Randall Cobb—Kentucky—5’10”-191-2nd-3rd—85—The guy is a football player pure and simple. He’s this class’s best slot receiver. I saw him play QB, RB, and multiple receiver spots in college. He breaks tackles, he makes tough/clutch catches, and he runs a 4.43. I feel like I should like him more, but he’s caught right in a talented group of wideouts so he might slip into the 3rd.
7.) Greg Little—UNC—6’3”-231—Round 3-5—84—Big MAN. Ran a 4.53 which coincidentally is what Dez Bryant ran. Sat out last year for illegal agent stuff. The man is big ripped and talented. Natural and strong hands, definitely a guy that’s gonna catch a lot over the middle. Runs with strength after the catch, reminds me of Anquan Boldin in that respect. 40” vert aka some serious explosiveness. He’s gonna slip further than his talent would dictate. Former RB, gonna be good in a west coast system cuz of YAC and size. Lot of value in the 3rd. Comparable to Arrelious Benn coming out last year
8.) Torrey Smith—Maryland—6’1”-204—2nd—83—Ran a 4.43 which is good but not amazing. Like his run after catch. I don’t see him as much as the deep threat everyone wants him to be. I see him as a mid 2nd round pick and someone that has the ability to play outside the numbers. Comparison would be Dante Stallworth. Ran a lotta hitches and screens. Real good hands, even though their small. Not a true route runner yet.
9.) Jerrel Jernigan—Troy—5’9”-185—3rd round—80—One of those small school spread offense guys like Emmanuel Sanders last year. This guy has serious value in the 4th. Was Mr. Everything for Troy. Great running with the ball. Runs in the 4.4’s I like him as a player, 2nd best slot man in the draft. Return ability.
10.) Austin Pettis—Boise State—6’3”-209—3rd round/day—76—Hugely productive in college, the 4.6 ain’t great. Big strong hands, catches just about everything. I think he’s a 3rd round prospect, in the same ballpark as Riley Cooper or Eric Decker last year. He uses his body well, and goes and gets the ball. West Coast offense receiver.
11.) Edmond Gates—ACU—6’0”-192—3rd round/day—70—Dude is an absolute burner (4.37). Gotta like the 40” vert. When Johnny Knox came from the same school he was a much less polished receiver than this guy is right now. Might jump into the 3rd because of his gamebreaker potential. Keep your eye on him.
12.) Terrence Tolliver—LSU—6’4”-212-3rd round/day—64—Lanky bastard. Pretty good 40 (4.53) but he doesn’t play fast, doesn’t come in and outta breaks well and is a pussy. Lit up Auburn this fall but is not really the type of guy that’s gonna make a big impact. 2nd receiver at best.
13.) Greg Salas—Hawaii—6’1”-210—3rd round/day—60—Caught a million balls at Hawaii. I don’t see NFL athleticism. Has real good hands and receiver instincts, but just doesn’t have anything that’s gonna garner separation from defenders. Maybe a 5th rounder.
14.) Ronald Johnson—USC—5’11”-199—3rd round/day—55—People compare him to Damien Williams from last year which is ridiculous. Has some return ability but ain’t polished as a receiver at all.
TE: This might be the weakest position in this draft. There’s basically Kyle Rudolph coming off of injuries and then a bunch of day 3 projections. Jordan Cameron might go higher than expected after everyone saw Jimmy Graham wound up being a good pick for the Saints as a TE project with serious athletic potential. This is just a shitty group.
1.) Kyle Rudolph—Notre Dame—6’6”-259—2nd round—89—Lots of comparisons to Gronk. Got injured last fall and missed half the season, still recovering. Got the ideal size, has 1st round talent and would’ve been a 1st rounder if he hadn’t gotten injured and could’ve further proved his athleticism. He does remind me of Gronk, though Gronk is a better blocker. Rudolph has the receiving feel to be very successful in the pros.
2.) Virgil Green—Nevada—6’3”-249—3RD round/day—68—Ran a 4.64 and 4.54 depending if you like official or unofficial time. 42.5” vert, 130” broad jump dudes real athletic. Played in the spread/option attack at Nevada, not much blocking going on but Green shows the ability to shield block when needed. I like him, especially in such a week TE class, 4thround grade.
3.) D.J. Williams—Arkansas—6’2”-245—3rd day—68—This year’s consummate H-back like Hernandez was last year. His Pops was some sort of abusive criminal and everyone says D.J.’s really mature. He’s not as athletic as Hernandez, but he comes without the positive drug test, and he comes with similar receiver instincts. Not much tape on him but from watching Arkansas he was definitely a big part of their offense. 4th round grade
4.) Jordan Cameron—USC—6’5”-254—3rd round/day—62—Ideal size, 4.59 40 with 37.5” vert and a beastly 4.03 in the shuttle. Was a top performer in every one of the TE drills. Average route runner, shows decent hands. His size and athleticism put him into the 4th round in my book even though he doesn’t have much on his track record.
5.) Luke Stocker—Tennessee—6’5”-258—3rd round/day—60—He’s one of the few guys in this draft that has that size to inline block and ability to get out and catch the football. 4.78 aint gonna cut it if you wanna get open consistently. He’s not the best blocker yet but that can come. I think he makes a decent number 2 tight end, and his versatility can save a roster spot.
6.) Lance Kendricks—Wisconsin—6’3”-243—3rd day—56—Another one of those H-back type TE’s from Wisconsin in the Travis Beckham tradition. You wanna see better than a 4.75 but he did run a 4.5 at his pro day so who knows. Not nearly the receiver D.J. Williams is, but looks more athletic, and is taller.
T: As with every draft there’s a top crew of tackles that have the length size and athleticism to play tackle in the NFL and after them there aint much. This year’s group is certainly inferior to last years and likely the year before. However there is talent and I believe 4 starters are guaranteed at the top of this class. Last year I had Russell Okung before Trent Williams because Okung played LT in college and though Trent was more athletic he only played RT. With the same reasoning I have Castonzo ahead of Smith. Even though Smith has a higher ceiling, he is unproven.
1.) Anthony Castonzo—BC—6’7”-311—1st—95—Solid technician, 40 something consecutive starts at LT. Most proven LT in the draft. I would take him as the first O-lineman because he has shown he can play the left side. He can be susceptible to power moves from the bigger DE’s. I like his feet, I like his punch, and I like his experience. He just looks like he’s got everything under control.
2.) Tyron Smith—USC—6’5”-307—Top 15—95—New breed of lineman, guy is ripped and slim and super athletic. Only played RT in college, but eerbody knows he has whats necessary to play LT. Alex Gibbs said he’s gonna be a probowl tackle, I trust his judgement. 36.5” arms. Looks inconsistent and occasionally lost on film.
3.) Derek Sherrod—Miss. St.—6’5”-321—1st—93—Played in the SEC. He played LT successfully in college and I think he can transfer that to the pros. He doesn’t have dominant athletic ability so I don’t think he will be a stellar LT. But I do think he is capable of manning the position and logging productive time. I think he gives value around pick 30. 35.5” arms. I see him on the Colts.
4.) Gabe Carimi—Wisconsin—6’7”-314—1st—92—The man is a RT. In gym shorts he looks horribly unathletic, he looks better on the field, but he still doesn’t have the mobility to play LT and that’s the money spot. I think he plays stronger than any of the other top tackles which gives him value on the right side. There’s something about him I just don’t like though, prob his unfounded cockiness.
5.) Nate Solder—Colorado—6’8”-319—1st—88—TE turned T as has been common lately. He’s big, he’s super athletic (5.05 40), you wonder about his strength (21 reps). I want to like him I really do, but he shows a terrible slide step and gets beat on speed rushes. On top of that he gets pushed back by bull rushes. I don’t know how people have him going in the top 20 he’s a high 2nd round pick and a project at that to me. He has all the tools you want to see, but you just don’t see performance. He is a really good run blocker though, and you cant teach his athleticism.
6.) Ben Ijalana—Villanova—6’4”-317—2nd day—80—Right tackle prospect that played D-1AA. His 36” arms are the reason he’s still in the running to play Tackle in the NFL. His feet are lacking, and if he doesn’t make it outside you can always slide him into guard being perfectly confident that he’ll be a solid player there. That type of versatility will be valued.
7.) Orlando Franklin—Miami—6’6”-316—3rd round/day—79—Huge dude, 35” arms ppl are gonna see if he can play RT. He’s athletic, but is susceptible to a good speed rush. Once he gets his hands on ppl they don’t get off. I think he has plenty of skill to play guard, and if given the right opportunity may make it as a RT. Gifted at getting to the 2nd Level.
G/C: This is actually a pretty good class of guards. It’s a little lacking in the center department, but if Mike Pouncey can make it at center it makes the class that much better. In guards I look for a mean streak teamed with balance. Danny Watkins has the best mean streak, Pouncey has the best technique and balance, and after them you’re probably looking for a 3rd round/day player.
1.) Mike Pouncey—Florida—6’5”-303—1st—93—Everyone says it’s the same as selecting his Brother last year and I disagreed with that until I watched the tape. Maurkice was a little better, but not by much. Mike has issues with the snap but that’ll come with practice, or he’ll play guard. He’s pretty slim, but that’s typical of a center, he plays technically sound football and can anchor an O-line for years to come. Safe choice and a good pick for just about any team.
2.) Danny Watkins—Baylor—6’3”-310—2nd—90—Loved him at the senior bowl. He’s an older guy, gonna turn 27 in the fall. I think he’s a Patriots man (Kaczur was old too). Canadian. Played LT in college, but is a better fit at guard with his shortish arms. He’s competitive, got a little anger to him. I like his game and I think he’s valuable in the early 2nd round.
3.) Orlando Franklin—Miami—6’6”-316—3rd round/day—79—Huge dude, 35” arms ppl are gonna see if he can play RT. He’s athletic, but is susceptible to a good speed rush. Once he gets his hands on ppl they don’t get off. I think he has plenty of skill to play guard, and if given the right opportunity may make it as a RT. Gifted at getting to the 2nd Level.
4.) Marcus Cannon—TCU—6’5”-358—2nd day—76—Big ol’ fatty. His biggest issue is gonna be keeping his weight down, cuz huge O-lineman don’t last long in the NFL. Some ppl think he can get by at RT, I am not one of those people. Weighed 349 at his pro day, good sign. Like the 5.2 40 for such a big man. I give him a high 3rd round grade because he can be a mauler, and he does carry his weight well. 33 reps aint bad.
5.) Ben Ijalana—Villanova—6’4”-317—2nd day—80—Right tackle prospect that played D-1AA. His 36” arms are the reason he’s still in the running to play Tackle in the NFL. His feet are lacking, and if he doesn’t make it outside you can always slide him into guard being perfectly confident that he’ll be a solid player there. That type of versatility will be valued.
6.) John Moffit—Wisconsin—6’4”-319—3rd round/day—68—Mauler at guard. Not real athletic, one of those guys whose real good going forward and not so good going backward. Look for him to be a 4th rounder. He can play even with his athletic short comings, and I’m hearing the Pats might like him.
7.) Rodney Hudson—FSU—6’2”-299—3rd round/day—65—Wish he was taller and bigger. He’s got some aggressiveness to him, but he also has some balance issues aka gets out over his toes too much. Has a strong punch and gets to the second level well. Plays with good leverage. I think he’s a 4th rounder.
8.) Clint Boling—Georgia—6’5”-308—3rd round/day—64—Played some LT in college. More of a technician type blocker. 33.5” arms means he’s a guard. Has college experience playing guard. Wouldn’t be surprised if he ended up a patriot.
9.) Will Rackley—Lehigh—6’3”-309—3rd round/day—64—Played in a lesser conference at Lehigh, D-1AA. Reminds me of Vlad Ducasse last year. Small program LT ppl think can be a good guard. I think he looks so much better than his competition it covers up his shortcomings. I think he’s a 4th round prospect and I would warn someone taking him day 2, lack of balance lack of a good punch and gets overextended.
10.) Stefan Wisniewski—Penn. St.—6’3”-313—3rd round/day—61—Might be the best pure center in the draft assuming that Mike Pouncey moves to Guard. I think he’ll be a good pick on day 3. Nothing spectacular just a good smart football player.
4-3 DT: This is a real good draft for 3 techniques. There are a bunch of guys in the mix who could play the 3, could play 5-technique, or even the 0 (Nose). Fairley is the risky one in this group who could prove to be a better fit as a 5. I think there are 6 players in here that could be 1st rounders though I only think 4 should. Compared to last year I’d have Suh outright number 1, and probably McCoy ahead of Dareus also.
1.) Marcell Dareus—Alabama—6’3”-319—Top 5—99—Explosive. I expected to see a power rusher from someone who’s stout at 320, but he has great hands and just gets by people and moves like a much smaller man. He seems like a combination of Ndamkong Suh and Gerald McCoy from last year with their respective strength and slashing ability. Only 33” arms which hurts his prospects as a 3-4 DE. Could probably be a NT, but I think that would limit utilizing his athleticism because he would be asked to eat up blockers. Definitely one of the best defensive line athletes I’ve seen. Safest pick in the draft.
2.) Nick Fairley—Auburn—6’4”-297—Top 15—96—Disruptive is his middle name. Guy is always in the backfield, always. I watched every Auburn game this year and their defense was atrocious outside of Fairley. He got all the attention and still produced to be the best lineman in the country (Lombardi Award). Dude took over the BCS game. I love his quickness and slashing ability. I’d like him to be 3 bills, but I like his 35” arms. He’s a bit of a one year wonder, and wasn’t highly recruited outta high school. But something tells me he’s just a pure football player, and that translates to any level. http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-draft/09000d5d81f63fcf/Fairley-s-field
3.) Corey Liuget—Illinois—6’2”-298—1st—95—This guy is Legit. I really like him. Has the best punch in the draft, gets great separation from blockers and wreaks havoc on opposing teams. Ideal 4-3 DT, but I could see him as a Nose, even though he doesn’t seem fat enough, Jay Ratliff aint that big either and he’s a probowl NT. In a 4-3 the guy is gonna stuff the run and push the pocket. He might slip into the 20’s, but I think he gives you value even in the top 15. I think he is the safest pick in the middle of the 1st round.
4.) Stephen Paea—Oregon St—6’1”-303—late 1 early 2—93—Got up 49 reps of 225. I was surprised at his quickness, shows a good first step and surprising agility. I really like the way he stands his ground against double teams. Doesn’t look very big, but plays strong and with great pursuit. Tremendous film against USC, I think he’s worth 1st rounder. I think he can be an impact player. Also could play nose a lot like Jay Ratliff, don’t be surprised if the Texans draft Paea to play Ratliff’s role in Wade Philips new defense there.
5.) Marvin Austin—UNC—6’2”-309—Late 1 early 2—87—Big strong and athletic. Mike Mayock’s been talking this guy up, but I don’t see him as first round caliber. 38 reps and athleticism and stoutness to match that makes him look like a first rounder, but lack of instincts and awareness to go along with his T-rex arms and being outta football for 2 years gives him a 2nd round grade in my book. I like his motor and think he can def be productive, but with the talent in this year’s class he just shouldn’t go before 35.
6.) Muhammed Wilkerson—Temple—6’4-315—1st—88—Maybe the most natural pick for a 5 tehnique cuz he played the 3-4 DE in college. His 35” arms help, though I’d like to see him get ballcarriers to the ground better. Certainly looks the part, and flashes some ability to get to the qb, especially on passing downs. Very good athleticism for a man his size, but does not play with the stoutness expected of a 315 pounder. More of an outside rusher than an interior one, relies on agility and slashing ability. I need to see more strength, especially against the run but also in the form of a bull rush. Played in a weaker conference, but did see a lot of double teams. I wouldn’t take him in the 1st unless you know how to use his athleticism and cover up his flaws. Not one of my favorites.
7.) Drake Nevis—LSU—6’1”-294—2nd day—86—Talented player with experience coming outta LSU. One of those guys that displays this drafts depth along the defensive line. Good burst and average strength. Definitely has the ability to be effective and possibly disruptive 3-technique guy. I like him for the lions if they’re looking for depth.
8.) Phil Taylor—Baylor—6’3”-334—Late 1 early 2—83—Noticed him doing 1 on 1’s at senior bowl practice, he was pretty dominant. Unfortunately for him he’s gonna get double teamed a lot, and on film half the time he holds his ground and the other half he gets blown out. Need to see consistency out of him, without it he’s not worth a top 40 pick. Penn St transfer, some off the field issues including showing up to training camp at 380 his junior year. I believe Mount Cody was a better player, they have the same weight concerns, and Cody didn’t go til the late 50’s, and he didn’t really produce so needless to say I’m not real high on Phil Taylor stock.
3-4 NT: This class is interesting because it doesn’t have the stout NT that plays low. Think of the NFL nose tackles: Wilfork, Raji, Casey Hampton; all about 6’0”-6’2”, 330lbs-whatever Vince actually weighs. Paea and Liuget are smaller Jay Ratliff types, and Phil Taylor is bigger, but also plays high. I think it’s a serious down year for NT’s, even though I think Paea can be successful.
1.) Marcell Dareus—Alabama—6’3”-319—Top 5—99—Explosive. I expected to see a power rusher from someone who’s stout at 320, but he has great hands and just gets by people and moves like a much smaller man. He seems like a combination of Ndamkong Suh and Gerald McCoy from last year with their respective strength and slashing ability. Only 33” arms which hurts his prospects as a 3-4 DE. Could probably be a NT, but I think that would limit utilizing his athleticism because he would be asked to eat up blockers. Definitely one of the best defensive line athletes I’ve seen. Safest pick in the draft.
2.) Stephen Paea—Oregon St—6’1”-303—late 1 early 2—93—Got up 49 reps of 225. I was surprised at his quickness, shows a good first step and surprising agility. I really like the way he stands his ground against double teams. Doesn’t look very big, but plays strong and with great pursuit. Tremendous film against USC, I think he’s worth 1st rounder. I think he can be an impact player. Also could play nose a lot like Jay Ratliff, don’t be surprised if the Texans draft Paea to play Ratliff’s role in Wade Philips new defense there.
3.) Corey Liuget—Illinois—6’2”-298—1st—95—This guy is Legit. I really like him. Has the best punch in the draft, gets great separation from blockers and wreaks havoc on opposing teams. Ideal 4-3 DT, but I could see him as a Nose, even though he doesn’t seem fat enough, Jay Ratliff aint that big either and he’s a probowl NT. In a 4-3 the guy is gonna stuff the run and push the pocket. He might slip into the 20’s, but I think he gives you value even in the top 15. I think he is the safest pick in the middle of the 1st round.
4.) Phil Taylor—Baylor—6’3”-334—Late 1 early 2—83—Noticed him doing 1 on 1’s at senior bowl practice, he was pretty dominant. Unfortunately for him he’s gonna get double teamed a lot, and on film half the time he holds his ground and the other half he gets blown out. Need to see consistency out of him, without it he’s not worth a top 40 pick. Penn St transfer, some off the field issues including showing up to training camp at 380 his junior year. I believe Mount Cody was a better player, they have the same weight concerns, and Cody didn’t go til the late 50’s, and he didn’t really produce so needless to say I’m not real high on Phil Taylor stock.
3-4 DE: Absolutely the best 5 technique draft group I’ve ever seen. Rarely are there more than two guys that are first round caliber, this year there are at least 5 first rounders who will have the ability to play 3-4 DE. There are guys in here that could play 4-3 DE, 4-3 DT, even 3-4 OLB (Cam Jordan). I’m always on the lookout for a Richard Seymour body type that’s why I like Cameron Heyward and I think the Pats will too. Last year’s draft only had Jared Odrick, if he was in this draft I think he lands in 7th, that’s how good this class is.
1.) Marcell Dareus—Alabama—6’3”-319—Top 5—99—Explosive. I expected to see a power rusher from someone who’s stout at 320, but he has great hands and just gets by people and moves like a much smaller man. He seems like a combination of Ndamkong Suh and Gerald McCoy from last year with their respective strength and slashing ability. Only 33” arms which hurts his prospects as a 3-4 DE. Could probably be a NT, but I think that would limit utilizing his athleticism because he would be asked to eat up blockers. Definitely one of the best defensive line athletes I’ve seen. Safest pick in the draft.
2.) Nick Fairley—Auburn—6’4”-297—Top 15—96—Disruptive is his middle name. Guy is always in the backfield, always. I watched every Auburn game this year and their defense was atrocious outside of Fairley. He got all the attention and still produced to be the best lineman in the country (Lombardi Award). Dude took over the BCS game. I love his quickness and slashing ability. I’d like him to be 3 bills, but I like his 35” arms. He’s a bit of a one year wonder, and wasn’t highly recruited outta high school. But something tells me he’s just a pure football player, and that translates to any level. http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-draft/09000d5d81f63fcf/Fairley-s-field
3.) J.J. Watt—Wisconsin—6’5”-290—Top 20—95—Carries his weight very well. 4.8 40 and 37” vert are ridiculous at 290lbs. Really good hands. He’s great at shedding the blocker and getting the ball carrier. He played 4-3 DE in college so you don’t see him eating up blockers like you’d want in a 3-4 DE, but the dude’s a mammoth. I think he has better pass rush potential than any of the other 2nd tier 3-4 DE’s. Definite room to pack on another 20 lbs. Wish he had longer arms than 34”. Played TE at Central Michigan, so still new to DE. I like him, I see effort, pride, athleticism, and strength in his game. It’s like a carousel all good things.
4.) Cameron Heyward—Ohio State—6’5”-294—Late 1st—94—When I first watched him I thought he looked like Richard Seymour. The more I watched the more I think he lets people into his body too much and has trouble separating. He’s definitely stout. He’s a 5 technique thru and thru. I think he looks like a real good prospect. 4 year starter, really highly touted going into last year which means he got a lot of attention, I saw a ton of double teams going his way. Not athletic per se, but you don’t really need him to be. Kid lays the boom on people. They move him around the d-line so you see him inside and out and he looks better inside. I really like the way he plays and I think with another 10 pounds of muscle he’s going to be a real good 3-4 DE.
5.) Cameron Jordan—Cal—6’4”-287—1st—94—I like him. Definite versatility. Long arms (35”). I think he uses his hands well and displays a nice swim move in passing situations. To play 3-4 DE he’s gonna need another 10-20 pounds which might cut down on his athleticism but will help him anchor. Displays ability to play a 2 gap scheme which is ideal for the pats. If he drops 10 or so pounds could be a very stout strong side OLB in the 3-4. His athleticism would allow him to do so, difficulty there is his lack of pass rush, especially speed rush. Definitely belongs in a 3-4, and I believe will be a strong selection in the teens.
6.) Muhammed Wilkerson—Temple—6’4-315—1st—88—Maybe the most natural pick for a 5 tehnique cuz he played the 3-4 DE in college. His 35” arms help, though I’d like to see him get ballcarriers to the ground better. Certainly looks the part, and flashes some ability to get to the qb, especially on passing downs. Very good athleticism for a man his size, but does not play with the stoutness expected of a 315 pounder. More of an outside rusher than an interior one, relies on agility and slashing ability. I need to see more strength, especially against the run but also in the form of a bull rush. Played in a weaker conference, but did see a lot of double teams. I wouldn’t take him in the 1st unless you know how to use his athleticism and cover up his flaws. Not one of my favorites.
4-3 DE: Just like the draft as a whole, this position especially is racked with questionable players. How’s Bower’s health? Robert Quinn hasn’t played in 2 years, has he progressed? Does Ryan Kerrigan have enough explosion for the NFL? The fact of the matter is, this is one of the most talented groups I’ve ever seen, probably second to 2006. Some of these guys will stand up in a 3-4, but some are meant to play with their hand in the ground.
1.) Da’Quan Bowers—Clemson—6’3”-280—Top 20—97—Exceptional run defender, exceptional. Keeps blockers from advancing to the next level and influences running backs. Very stout, we don’t see 280 pound DE’s with this athleticism very often (not since Mario Williams). Gets moved around to every position on the DL, speaks to strength and adaptability. He was dominant this year, literally dominant. He only really produced this past year but he didn’t come outta no where, he was the #1 player outta high school 3 years ago. I love this guy. True 4-3 end, gotta play with his hand in the ground. Needs more pass moves, but he’s a full grown man ready to get on the field right meow. (He’s not as long as you’d like to see). Injury concerns could push him down draft boards.
2.) Robert Quinn—UNC—6’4”-265—Top 10—96--Suspended for this past year for some agent bs. Had brain tumor in high school so some teams may shy away. Inconsistent burst (probably because the scheme is run defense first), sometimes flashing elite pass rush potential. Always relentless except when facing Costanzo, concerning. Seems to use his hands well to deflect punches. Consistently disruptive. I want to love him because of his measurables (4.6 40) but I don’t. The trouble is he’s only 19 in his film, projecting that to being 22 next season is just that, a projection. Can get pushed around a bit in run defense, but is still a pretty solid run defender. If Jason Pierre-Paul went at 16 last year this guy should definitely be a top 15 pick.
3.) Ryan Kerrigan—Purdue—6’4”-273—Mid 1st—94—Consumate pass rusher. Just one of those guys who gets it done. He’s not real quick, he appears to be real strong, but it’s like he just wants it more than everyone else. Good technique, like his hands, love his rip, love his awareness on the field. Most polished pass rusher in this draft. RELENTLESS. Love how he plays. Only really see him with his hand in the ground, but his pass rush presence makes him worth a first rounder even if he’s not a true 3 down player. Really really like him.
4.) Aldon Smith—Missouri—6’4”-263—10-20—93—Tough guy to read. Long kid. 35 and half inch arms, cant like the 20 reps though. He looks good as a 4-3 DE. The type of body frame and athleticism you think about standing up for a 3-4, but this guy can pack on 15-20 bills and play with his hand in the ground. Good athleticism, 4.78 is good for a DE, not great for an LB. Real good hands, does MMA training. Gets to the QB, not elite pass rusher, but has good enough pass rushing skills to see it translate to the pro-level. It’s possible he works out as a backer 2-3 years down the road, but he will be a sub package pass rusher as a rookie, and starting DE after his first year in a 4-3 scheme.
5.) Adrian Clayborn—Iowa—6’3”—281—Mid to late 1st—93—Lotta talk about his shoulder problem, but that’s prob not an issue. Gotta love his 1.6 on the 10 yard dash. He doesn’t jump out as real strong or real quick, but he uses his hands very well and is always always around the ball. Great junior year, dropped off senior year prob due to increased attention but is simply a football player and belongs in round one. He’s the example as to how deep this d-end class is. Started his final 30 games. 2 time all big 10. Team captain. One of the safest DE choices in the draft.
6.) Justin Houston—Georgia—6’3”-270—2nd—91—Limited available film, but definitely a disruptive speed rusher. I think he might creep into the back end of round 1 and I think that’s just about where his talent should have him go. Stood up a little bit this past year, but even as a 3-4 OLB he’s gonna be rushing the passer more often than not. I don’t see him working as a 4-3 DE for some reason, but I can envision him with his 30 reps, 34 1/2” arms and 36” vert making a good 3-4 backer. Oh and sub 4.6 40.
7.) Allen Bailey—Miami—6’3”-285—Day 2—82—Ton of hype about him coming into 2010, but didn’t really produce on the field, plus I hated what I saw outta him at the senior bowl practices. Physically looks great, 36” vert with a 4.77 is nice. Plays with a great motor. Possesses ideal size for a strong side 4-3 DE. Some ppl talk about moving him to DT but that’s retarded. On film he’s a 2nd round prospect. I think he should go in the 60’s right around where Carlos Dunlap went last year cuz they both had the physical tools but only showed flashes in college.
8.) Jabaal Sheard—Pitt—6’3”-264—2nd—82—Mike Reiss really wants this dude for the pats. Gotta like the stature to go along with the 4.69, but only has an average speed rush. Good bull rush though. Is pretty stiff so its gonna be a tough projection to 3-4 backer, and might not be able to play as a weakside 4-3 DE, that’s why I think he’s a risky selection. I’d like to see better pursuit. Has a bunch of counter moves which is good, just wish he had a real good speed rush to counter off of. Was certainly productive and feared in college, but I think he’s a little over hyped.
9.) Greg Romeus—Pitt—6’5”-264—3rd to 4th—81—Big east co-defensive player of the year in 2009. 35” arms. Only played 2 games in 2010 cuz of injuries which will concern teams enough to maybe even put him in the 3rd day. Without the injuries the guy is a 1st round talent. I think the pats should snatch him up with the Randy Moss pick in the 3rd. He looks thickly built even with his lanky frame. Plays the run pretty well, but he’s gonna earn his money getting to the qb. I think he’s a risky pick because of the injuries and if someone projects him to stand up, but if he lives up to his talent you could see him in Hawaii a few times.
10.) Brooks Reed—Arizona—6’3”-263—2nd—89—Definitely has some burst. It looks like he takes a lot of false steps, so that burst could turn into explosion if he eliminates them. He’s gonna have to stand up in a 3-4 cuz he won’t cut it as a 4-3 DE. Would like to see him get stronger and add a good bull rush. Has an ok swim move. I see good real value in the 2nd. More of a project than a finished product, but a good athlete with potential to get to the QB. Ppl say he could be the Clay Matthews of this draft, that’s aggressive, but I love his burst and closing speed, with a real good bull rush he could be a dynamic pass rusher.
11.) Sam Acho—Texas—6’2”-262—Day 2—70—Rave about his character and performance in the classroom but when it comes down to it he don’t do anything special on the field. You like the 4.68 and 33” vert but you don’t see speed on the film. Im not really sure what position he would fit in. I don’t see why he’d come off the board before day 3.
3-4 OLB: Another serious strength of this draft. Many of these guys may end up at different positions, but a think a lot of these guys could be successful standing up. At the top I’m not in love with Von Miller, I don’t think he’s as cant miss dominant as people believe him to be. But this year’s class has specimens with good length and athleticism. Last year’s draft had only one OLB prospect over 6’2” (Sergio Kindle). This draft has a lot of guys that fit Belichick’s checklist. This issue with this position is these are largely projections, any time you project you take a chance. Pass rushers, like quarterbacks, are so valuable that projects can still be 1st rounders.
1.) Von Miller—Texas A&M—6’3”-246—Top 5—97—Unbelievable explosion. Guy has quickness off the ball like you dream of. Watching the tape he reminds me a lot of Dwight Freeney. They get off the ball the same way. Also in the same way they often get so deep in the backfield they take themselves out of the play. Dip and rip guy, but without the rip usually, just speed and balance to run by the OT. Unfortunately that’s his only pass rush technique which is very different from Dwight Freeney. The best part of his game is getting behind the tackle with a speed rush and forcing the quarterback to step up in the pocket. His size scares me (short arms too). He definitely gets pushed around in the run game. Tries to avoid blocks rather than take them on and shed which he can’t do. I think he’s more of a sub-package player cuz he will get exposed in run defense. But he will *definitely* be an asset in the pass rush. He seems to only make plays when he goes untouched, he has the athleticism to make that happen a lot, but you gotta wonder if he can make that happen enough at the NFL level.
2.) Robert Quinn—UNC—6’4”-265—Top 10—96—Suspended for this past year for some agent bs. Had brain tumor in high school so some teams may shy away. Inconsistent burst (probably because the scheme is run defense first), sometimes flashing elite pass rush potential. Always relentless except when facing Costanzo, concerning. Seems to use his hands well to deflect punches. Consistently disruptive. I want to love him because of his measurables (4.6 40) but I don’t. The trouble is he’s only 19 in his film, projecting that to being 22 next season is just that, a projection. Can get pushed around a bit in run defense, but is still a pretty solid run defender. If Jason Pierre-Paul went at 16 last year this guy should definitely be a top 15 pick.
3.) Brooks Reed—Arizona—6’3”-263—2nd—89—Definitely has some burst. It looks like he takes a lot of false steps, so that burst could turn into explosion if he eliminates them. He’s gonna have to stand up in a 3-4 cuz he wont cut it as a 4-3 DE. Would like to see him get stronger and add a good bull rush. Has an ok swim move. I see good real value in the 2nd. More of a project than a finished product, but a good athlete with potential to get to the qb. Ppl say he could be the Clay Matthews of this draft, that’s aggressive, but I love his burst and closing speed, with a real good bull rush he could be a dynamic pass rusher.
4.) Justin Houston—Georgia—6’3”-270—2nd—91—Limited available film, but definitely a disruptive speed rusher. I think he might creep into the back end of round 1 and I think that’s just about where his talent should have him go. Stood up a little bit this past year, but even as a 3-4 OLB he’s gonna be rushing the passer more often than not. I don’t see him working as a 4-3 DE for some reason, but I can envision him with his 30 reps, 34 1/2” arms and 36” vert making a good 3-4 backer. Oh and sub 4.6 40.
5.) Ryan Kerrigan—Purdue—6’4”-273—Mid 1st—94—Consumate pass rusher. Just one of those guys who gets it done. He’s not real quick, he appears to be real strong, but its like he just wants it more than everyone else. Good technique, like his hands, love his rip, love his awareness on the field. Most polished pass rusher in this draft. RELENTLESS. Love how he plays. Only really see him with his hand in the ground, but his pass rush presence makes him worth a first rounder even if he’s not a true 3 down player. Really really like him.
6.) Aldon Smith—Missouri—6’4”-263—10-20—93—Tough guy to read. Long kid. 35 and half inch arms, cant like the 20 reps though. He looks good as a 4-3 DE. The type of body frame and athleticism you think about standing up for a 3-4, but this guy can pack on 15-20 bills and play with his hand in the ground. Good athleticism, 4.78 is good for a DE, not great for an LB. Real good hands, does MMA training. Gets to the QB, not elite pass rusher, but has good enough pass rushing skills to see it translate to the pro-level. Its possible he works out as a backer 2-3 years down the road, but he will be a sub package pass rusher as a rookie, and starting DE after his first year in a 4-3 scheme.
7.) Cameron Jordan—Cal—6’4”-287—1st—94—I like him. Definite versatility. Long arms (35”). I think he uses his hands well and displays a nice swim move in passing situations. To play 3-4 DE he’s gonna need another 10-20 pounds which might cut down on his athleticism but will help him anchor. Displays ability to play a 2 gap scheme which is ideal for the pats. If he drops 10 or so pounds could be a very stout strong side OLB in the 3-4. His athleticism would allow him to do so, difficulty there is his lack of pass rush, especially speed rush. Definitely belongs in a 3-4, and I believe will be a strong selection in the teens.
8.) Akeem Ayers—UCLA—6’3”-254—Late 1 early 2—86—I don’t really like him on film. Watched the Stanford and Cal tapes and he looks weak at the point of attack. He certainly is very athletic, pursuit is the best part of his game. I think he gives good hustle, I think he drops well in coverage. Probably a 4-3 backer, maybe 3-4 inside if someone gets creative, I doubt he’s going to set the edge in a 3-4. 33” arms and 4.88 with a 31”vert spells a 2nd round talent. Athlete that is perfect for a sub-package cuz he can dip and rip or drop into zone coverage (not man).
9.) Jabaal Sheard—Pitt—6’3”-264—2nd—82—Mike Reiss really wants this dude for the pats. Gotta like the stature to go along with the 4.69, but only has an average speed rush. Good bull rush though. Is pretty stiff so its gonna be a tough projection to 3-4 backer, and might not be able to play as a weakside 4-3 DE, that’s why I think he’s a risky selection. Id like to see better pursuit. Has a bunch of counter moves which is good, just wish he had a real good speed rush to counter off of. Was certainly productive and feared in college, but I think he’s a little over hyped.
10.) Greg Romeus—Pitt—6’5”-264—3rd to 4th—81—Big east co-defensive player of the year in 2009. 35” arms. Only played 2 games in 2010 cuz of injuries which will concern teams enough to maybe even put him in the 3rd day. Without the injuries the guy is a 1st round talent. I think the pats should snatch him up with the Randy Moss pick in the 3rd. He looks thickly built even with his lanky frame. Plays the run pretty well, but he’s gonna earn his money getting to the qb. I think he’s a risky pick because of the injuries and if someone projects him to stand up, but if he lives up to his talent you could see him in Hawaii a few times.
11.) Martez Wilson—Illinois—6’4”-250—2nd—75—Great length, long arms, 4.49 and a 36” vert. The man’s a specimen. I wanna see him take on blockers more aggressively, I wanna see more fluidity in his drop, but he could be a very effective blitzer with his burst. With his measurable you wish you could see him at 3-4 OLB, but he’s playing ILB or the Sam which is where he’ll end up in the pros. He’ll go in the 2nd but I give him a 3rd/4th round grade.
12.) Sam Acho—Texas—6’2”-262—Day 2—70—Rave about his character and performance in the classroom but when it comes down to it he don’t do anything special on the field. You like the 4.68 and 33” vert but you don’t see speed on the film. Im not really sure what position he would fit in. I don’t see why he’d come off the board before day 3.
13.) Dontay Moch—Nevada—6’1”-248—3rd day—66—Guy ran a 4.45, the fastest time for a linebacker in a decade. Freak athlete that’s still finding out how to play football. Good first step. Patriots worked him out. Mayock likes him. Another project athlete who is worth a day 3 flier.
4-3 OLB: This draft just doesn’t have a lot of these guys. Last year there was Sean Weatherspoon and Daryl Washington. This year Akeem Ayers is the clear number one and probably the only one worthy of a pick in the first 2 if not 3 rounds. Very weak class, and a lot of question marks surrounding these players and the possible position changes from ILB in college to Sam or Will backers in the pros.
1.) Akeem Ayers—UCLA—6’3”-254—Late 1 early 2—86—I don’t really like him on film. Watched the Stanford and Cal tapes and he looks weak at the point of attack. He certainly is very athletic, pursuit is the best part of his game. I think he gives good hustle, I think he drops well in coverage. Probably a 4-3 backer, maybe 3-4 inside if someone gets creative, I doubt he’s going to set the edge in a 3-4. 33” arms and 4.88 with a 31”vert spells a 2nd round talent. Athlete that is perfect for a sub-package cuz he can dip and rip or drop into zone coverage (not man).
2.) Kelvin Sheppard—LSU—6’2”-250—3rd round/day—85—I like him, I think he has real good read and react skills. Plays up to his 40 time (4.65). Plays downhill when he needs to and has good lateral speed to cover the sweep. I think he can play inside in the 3-4 or outside in the 4-3. I think he drops well in space, looks fluid in his drop. Blitzes with speed and hits angry. Team captain, 1st team all SEC, 30 game starter.
3.) Bruce Carter—UNC—6’2”-241—3rd round/day—85—Tore his ACL in November, but serious athlete that’s an absolute tackle machine. Gonna play the Will or maybe inside in a 3-4, and gonna be a real value pick when he recovers from the ACL. Kinda lick Brandon Tate was coming out gonna slip cuz of the injury but has top 40 talent. A definite player to like.
4.) Martez Wilson—Illinois—6’4”-250—2nd—75—Great length, long arms, 4.49 and a 36” vert. The man’s a specimen. I wanna see him take on blockers more aggressively, I wanna see more fluidity in his drop, but he could be a very effective blitzer with his burst. With his measurable you wish you could see him at 3-4 OLB, but he’s playing ILB or the Sam which is where he’ll end up in the pros. He’ll go in the 2nd but I give him a 3rd/4th round grade.
5.) Casey Matthews—Oregon—6’1”-231—3rd day—74—Clay’s little bro. Smart, instinctive player whose undersized and not super fast (4.76). I watched a bunch of Oregon games this year and was always impressed with him. On film he gets devoured by blockers pretty often. We could see be a late bloomer in the bulk department like his brother. Effective coverage backer. Will start as a special teamer, eventually sub packages and hopefully a starting Will spot. He’s a football player, I give him a 3rd round grade.
6.) Quan Sturdivant—UNC—6’1”-241—2nd day—77—Downhill player, stiff in the hips even though he ran a 4.65. To me he’s a 3-4 ILB. I like him in the 3rd round. Missed some games last year and he’ll need another 10 pounds. But he’s a decent player that has potential to start.
7.) Mark Herzlich—BC—6’4”-247—3rd day—51—We all know the story, ACC player of the year before cancer, average at best after. Best intangibles in the draft, gotta wonder if he can pull a bruschi and come back from life threatening illness. Played the Sam, plenty of experience and ability in coverage. Speed in the 4.9’s might relegate him to an inside backer, and combined with medical history might push him outta the draft all together. Gotta love his length and fire. Just looks a step slow.
ILB/MLB: Again seriously weak linebacker class after the 3-4 OLB. I really like Carter and Sheppard on film, and I think Carter stands a chance to be one of the bigger steals from this draft. This class is weak at the top and doesn’t have depth. Last year’s draft had 3 players better than all these guys.
1.) Bruce Carter—UNC—6’2”-241—3rd round/day—86—Tore his ACL in November, but serious athlete that’s an absolute tackle machine. Gonna play the Will or maybe inside in a 3-4, and gonna be a real value pick when he recovers from the ACL. Kinda lick Brandon Tate was coming out gonna slip cuz of the injury but has top 40 talent. A definite player to like. Think DeMeco Ryans.
2.) Kelvin Sheppard—LSU—6’2”-250—3rd round/day—85—I like him, I think he has real good read and react skills. Plays up to his 40 time (4.65). Plays downhill when he needs to and has good lateral speed to cover the sweep. I think he can play inside in the 3-4 or outside in the 4-3. I think he drops well in space, looks fluid in his drop. Blitzes with speed and hits angry. Team captain, 1st team all SEC, 30 game starter.
3.) Martez Wilson—Illinois—6’4”-250—2nd—75—Great length, long arms, 4.49 and a 36” vert. The man’s a specimen. I wanna see him take on blockers more aggressively, I wanna see more fluidity in his drop, but he could be a very effective blitzer with his burst. With his measurable you wish you could see him at 3-4 OLB, but he’s playing ILB or the Sam which is where he’ll end up in the pros. He’ll go in the 2nd but I give him a 3rd/4th round grade.
4.) Akeem Ayers—UCLA—6’3”-254—Late 1 early 2—86—I don’t really like him on film. Watched the Stanford and Cal tapes and he looks weak at the point of attack. He certainly is very athletic, pursuit is the best part of his game. I think he gives good hustle, I think he drops well in coverage. Probably a 4-3 backer, maybe 3-4 inside if someone gets creative, I doubt he’s going to set the edge in a 3-4. 33” arms and 4.88 with a 31”vert spells a 2nd round talent. Athlete that is perfect for a sub-package cuz he can dip and rip or drop into zone coverage (not man).
5.) Quan Sturdivant—UNC—6’1”-241—2nd day—77—Downhill player, stiff in the hips even though he ran a 4.65. To me he’s a 3-4 ILB. I like him in the 3rd round. Missed some games last year and he’ll need another 10 pounds. But he’s a decent player that has potential to start.
CB: Its next to impossible to find film on corners cuz the camera cuts them off and the only time you see them is when the ball is thrown their way which usually only happens when they don’t cover well. That being said I’m not in love with this corner class. Last year had 5 1st rounders and I thought they mostly all belonged. This year I’m not sure more than 2-3 belong (though someone will fall in love with Jimmy Smith, trust me). Though I do think these top 2 guys are as good as have been paired together in the same draft that I can remember.
1.) Patrick Peterson—LSU—6’0”-219—Top 10—99—One of the safest picks in the draft. Guy is going to be a stud no doubt about it. If he’s not unreal at corner he definitely will be a dynamic safety. Amazing athleticism, 4.34, 38” vert. Best return man in the draft. Being 220 is unusual for a corner, but he can switch to safety if somehow he can’t make it at corner. He’s such a unique athlete at corner its tough to make a comparison, but I think he plays like Champ more than Revis or even Asante, I think he’ll thrive in a zone scheme, especially since he has elite ball skills.
2.) Prince Amukamara—Nebraska—6’0”—206—Top 15—96—Built to tackle, and he does very effectively. I thought he was overrated based on one of his games I watched, but from the film I found he looks legit. He plays bump and run he plays off coverage he knows exactly how to reach around the receiver and knock the ball down. He’s athletic, 4.43 and a 38” vert are pretty nice. He’s a complete corner and now I believe he deserves to go in the first half of round 1. I might compare him to Quentin Jammer or Tramon Williams.
3.) Brandon Harris—Miami—5’10”-191—late 1 to 2nd—92—Youre gonna wanna see better than a 4.53 showing. Belichick loves this guy and considering how I doubted him about McCourty last year I’m giving this guy an endorsement. Deion Sanders says he’s a baller. I like the way he plays in space. On film I see him play very well in run support. His film against Demaryius Thomas from ’09 looks like McCourty. I like him even with below average recovery speed. Baller.
4.) Ras-I Dowling—Virginia—6’1”-198—Late 1 early 2—90—Consensus 1st rounder coming into ’10, didn’t play a lot cuz he hurt is ankle hammy and knee. His ’09 film is really good, like top 15 pick good. Im a scared by the injuries, especially since he pulled up lame at the combine in his only 40 attempt (4.4), but I think he’s worth an early 2nd rounder, like if the 49ers don’t get a CB at 7 they should hop on him in the 2nd.
5.) Jimmy Smith—Colorado—6’2”-211—1st—88—Definitely plays strong (24 reps). Ran a 4.6 and plays about that speed, maybe a lil slower (especially coming outta breaks). I think he’s a 2nd round talent because you see him play effectively in press and off coverage, but he lacks instincts and ability to lock on to a receiver. Played exclusively right corner at CU and will likely stay there. His height is an asset and a concern cuz how many 6’2” corners can you think of in the NFL? 2 arrests at school. If the Raiders weren’t set with bookend corners they’d nab him for sure
6.) Aaron Williams—Texas—6’0”-204—Late 1 early 2—86—Lotta people see him making the move to safety. I like the way he attacks the line of scrimmage. You see him at left, right, and slot corner (versatility). At 4.56 with stiff hips he’s a 3rd round corner. But if you project him to safety with his size, aggressiveness, and average awareness he gets a 2nd round safety grade. I think you’ll see him drafted pretty early, but Im not gaga, for once I’d like to be gaga.
7.) Kendrick Burney—UNC—5’9”-186—2nd day—84—Saw him at the Senior Bowl and was really impressed I think he can be a high value pick in the 4th. He’s completely lost in run support, but you gotta expect that, right after I wrote that I watched more film and he looked great in run support. He looks super athletic coming outta his back pedal which is why I don’t understand the 32” vert. 4.75 40 is whats pushing him outta the 2nd day. I like him as a football player, and that’s my number one criteria.
8.) Brandon Burton—Utah—6’0”-190—3rd round/day—75—Aggressive in press man, terrible coming outta his back pedal so he’s gonna have to bump and run. Got abused by Boise St. Will need to be in right system. Will need some more muscle, 4.5 40 is good enough. 3rd round grade at best.
9.) Marcus Gilchrist—Clemson—5’10”-195—2nd day—77—26 reps to go with a 4.51 and a 38.5” vert. Those be some nice measurables. A lot of people including Mike Mayock think he’s a better value in the 3rd-4th than Rahim Moore is in the 2nd. I like his versatility, played FS and CB, that adds value. Plays like a Belichick player, just saying. I think he’s good value in the 4th but is worth a 3rd.
S: This year’s class is weak. Last year’s safety class was unbelievably good and this year is just no comparison. Obviously Patrick Peterson would be the best safety which is just plan B for him. Im not super impressed by anyone else in this class.
1.) Patrick Peterson—LSU—6’0”-219—Top 10—99—One of the safest picks in the draft. Guy is going to be a stud no doubt about it. If he’s not unreal at corner he definitely will be a dynamic safety. Amazing athleticism, 4.34, 38” vert. Best return man in the draft. Being 220 is a unusual for a corner, but he can switch to safety if somehow he cant make it at corner. He’s such a unique athlete at corner its tough to make a comparison, but I think he plays like Champ more than Revis or even Asante, I think he’ll thrive in a zone scheme, especially since he has elite ball skills.
2.) Rahim Moore—UCLA—6’0”-202—2nd—85—Ten picks as a Junior, only 1 as a senior. Average at best in run support. Good athleticism, 4.62 is ok. Probably woulda been the 5th safety last year, but this year is likely to be the 1st. This might push his draft stock up higher than his value. I give him a 2nd round grade and wouldn’t wanna draft him before 50, but someone probably will. Gonna be counted on to be a centerfielder, but I don’t see him being a top performer.
3.) Aaron Williams—Texas—6’0”-204—Late 1 early 2—86—Lotta people see him making the move to safety. I like the way he attacks the line of scrimmage. You see him at left right and slot corner (versatility). At 4.56 with stiff hips he’s a 3rd round corner. But if you project him to safety with his size, aggressiveness, and average awareness he gets a 2nd round safety grade. I think you’ll see him drafted pretty early, but Im not gaga, for once I’d like to be gaga.
4.) Marcus Gilchrist—Clemson—5’10”-195—2nd day—77—26 reps to go with a 4.51 and a 38.5” vert. Those be some nice measurables. A lot of people including Mike Mayock think he’s a better value in the 3rd-4th than Rahim Moore is in the 2nd. I like his versatility, played FS and CB, that adds value. Plays like a Belichick player, just saying. I think he’s good value in the 4th but is worth a 3rd.
5.) Ahmad Black—Florida—5’10”-1984—3rd round/day—56—Everyone thought he’d be pretty good, but looked bad at the senior bowl, ran a 4.75 and isn’t moving real well. 4th rounder at best. Looks ok on tape, but not really good.
K/P
1.) Alex Henery—Nebraska—does anyone care about a kickers measurables?—Dude played kicker and punter and excelled at both. Some people have him nearing a top 100 prospect. He could play both and save a team a roster spot, if they’re willing to take that chance.
KR/PR:
Patrick Peterson—LSU—CB
Noel Devine—West Virginia—RB
Titus Young—Boise St.—WR
Sleepers:
RB: Roy Helu Jr.,
WR: Titus Young, Edmund Gates
G: Orlando Franklin
DT: Stephen Paea
OLB/DE: Greg Romeus
LB: Kelvin Sheppard, Bruce Carter
CB: Ras-I-Dowling, Brandon Harris, Kendrick Burney